Como and Fiorentina face each other in a Serie A matchup where the hosts have been in impressive form, unbeaten in four of their last five matches. Therefore, our prediction firmly leans toward a 1-0 home win. Como’s attacking prowess is evident, scoring 2.1 goals per game overall while conceding just 0.6, and Cesc Fabregas's troops boast a solid 60% clean sheet record. At home, they average 2.6 goals per match, making them a tough side to break down.
Fiorentina travel to Lombardy with some concerns, as forward Albert Gudmundsson is likely to miss out following a knock in their 2-2 draw with Torino. The visitors’ form has been inconsistent, collecting just 1.2 points per game recently, while conceding 1.5 goals per match and keeping only 10% clean sheets. H2H stats favor Como, who have won three of the last four meetings, scoring in every game and keeping Fiorentina at bay. In their last meeting at the venue, Fiorentina defeated Como 2-0, meaning that Cesc Fabregas' men are hungry for revenge.
As Como have turned their Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia into a real fortress, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Under 3.5 goals Como Clean Sheet (low scoring tendency from Como combined with Fiorentina’s inconsistency).
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Como vs Fiorentina prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Como 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Como vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Anastasios Douvikas @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Anastasios Douvikas @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Alberto Moreno @ 125 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Como -0.5 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Fiorentina +2 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Como to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Como to Win/Como to Win @ 150 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Como - Yes @ 150 Odds
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View OfferComo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwd | 2.00 |
| Home | wdlwd | 1.60 |
| Away | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 1.97 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.93 | 0.69 | 1.18 |
Fiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllld | 1.20 |
| Home | wdlld | 1.33 |
| Away | ldwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.33 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.71 | 1.85 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.28 | 1.80 |
Como vs Fiorentina Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Como (75%)
4 Matches
Fiorentina (25%)
