Como have quietly built momentum under Cesc Fabregas, collecting 1.80 points per game and showing impressive defensive discipline. As I Biancoblu are tough to beat at home, we predict that they will hold Milan to a 1-1 draw. Even with Addai, Diao, Goldaniga and Morata sidelined, their structure remains intact: Como have kept 60% clean sheets overall, including 75% at home, conceding just 0.25 goals per game at the Sinigaglia. Fabregas'men don’t often play chaotic matches either—BTTS has landed in only 20% of their fixtures. Offensively, however, inconsistency remains a theme, with Como failing to score in 40% of matches.
The Rossoneri head into Thursday's clash with their own injury concerns—defender Strahinja Pavlovic should recover, but forward Santiago Gimenez remains absent. Massimiliano Allegri's side mirror Como in points per game (1.80), but create slightly better, averaging 1.95 expected goals at home and 1.33 away. Milan’s defensive numbers are steady — 0.90 goals conceded per match, 40% clean sheets — though they’ve struggled to score consistently on the road (1.00 per game). The two recent H2H meetings produced goals at both ends, but Milan were victors each time.
Given Como’s home defensive steel and Milan’s uneven away finishing, this could be tighter than expected. As both teams allow few chances and score conservatively, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Draw and Half-Time Draw.
This Serie A match will be played on Thursday 15 January 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Como vs Milan prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Como 1 - 1 Milan
Como vs Milan Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Rafael Leao @ 162 Odds
- To be booked: Alberto Moreno @ 105 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
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View OfferComo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwd | 1.80 |
| Home | dwwd | 2.00 |
| Away | wllww | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 1.25 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.66 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.11 | 0.73 | 1.37 |
Milan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdd | 1.80 |
| Home | wdwd | 2.00 |
| Away | lwlwd | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.95 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 0.94 | 1.43 |
Como vs Milan Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Como (0%)
2 Matches
Milan (100%)
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