With Como winning three of their last five and boasting an impressive 2.50 PPG at home, we predict that they will defeat Udinese 1-0 in their first game of the year. Como's defence has been the foundation of that success, conceding just 0.25 goals per home game and keeping 75% clean sheets at their own ground. Offensively, Cesc Fabregas' men produce 1.72 xG at home, showing they regularly create quality chances. With a low 25% BTTS rate in home matches and only 1.25 xGA, they tend to control the tempo well. Defender Diego Costa is banned for this fixture.
The Zebrette, on the other hand, head into the first game of 2026 with more inconsistency, having collected only 0.60 PPG away from home and losing four of their last five away games. Their defensive numbers are worrying, conceding 2.40 goals per away match with an xGA of 1.84, which highlights vulnerability against organised attacks. Scoring just 0.80 goals per game, the visitors lack efficiency in the final third, though they do keep 30% clean sheets overall. Important defender Nicolo Bertola is unlikely to feature after sustaining a knock versus Lazio.
Given Como's better form and excellent home numbers, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, with additional value on Under 2.5 goals and Como to Score First.
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 3 January 2026 at 11:30.
What is our Como vs Udinese prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Como 1 - 0 Udinese
Como vs Udinese Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Duvan Zapata @ 140 Odds
- To be booked: Sandi Lovric @ 110 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferComo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllw | 1.80 |
| Home | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Away | dwllw | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.50 | 1.72 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.25 | 1.35 |
Udinese Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwld | 1.00 |
| Home | wllwd | 1.40 |
| Away | llwll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.65 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.03 | 1.84 |
Como vs Udinese Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Como (50%)
2 Matches
Udinese (50%)
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