Fiorentina vs Cremonese Prediction & Betting Tips | 04/01/2026

Fiorentina vs Cremonese Prediction and Betting Tips | 4 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

31 December 2025 • 12:44 UTC • 1 min read

Fiorentina vs Cremonese Prediction and Betting Tips 4 January 2026

Fiorentina continue their search for their first league win of the season. As Cremonese seems like an ideal opportunity for Fiorentina to get back on course, our prediction points toward a 1-0 win. The Viola welcome back defender Luca Ranieri from suspension and will hope his return helps tighten a back line that has yet to keep a clean sheet this campaign. Despite their struggles, Fiorentina’s home numbers remain respectable: they average 1.80 goals scored at home with an expected goals of 1.67, but their defensive lapses (1.20 goals conceded per home match) keep costing them points.

The visitors, on the other hand, suffered a 2-0 loss to Napoli in their last league match, though Federico Ceccherini returns from suspension to boost their defence. Interestingly, they collect 1.40 points per game away, concede only 0.60 goals per away match, and keep clean sheets in 40% of away fixtures. However, the H2H history strongly favours Fiorentina, who are unbeaten in four meetings (3W, 1D) and have kept three clean sheets in those clashes.

Given Fiorentina's strong H2H dominance and improving squad availability, Home Win should be considered. Additionally, Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals markets seem tempting as Cremonese’s away defence is difficult to break down.

This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 14:00.

What is our Fiorentina vs Cremonese prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Fiorentina 1 - 0 Cremonese

Fiorentina vs Cremonese Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-0
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
Goalscorer: Christian Kouame @ 120 Odds
To be booked: Mattia Valoti @ 125 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds

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Fiorentina Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wllwl	0.80
Home	dlwlw	1.40
Away	dllll	0.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	40%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.70	3.00	2.40
Scored	1.20	1.80	0.60
Conceded	1.50	1.20	1.80
BTTS	60%	80%	40%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	20%	60%
Expected Goals	1.51	1.67	1.35
Expected Goals Against	1.45	1.25	1.63

Cremonese Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwldl	1.10
Home	dllwl	0.80
Away	wlwld	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	20%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.10	2.60	1.60
Scored	1.00	1.00	1.00
Conceded	1.10	1.60	0.60
BTTS	40%	60%	20%
Clean Sheets	30%	20%	40%
Failed to Score	40%	20%	60%
Expected Goals	1.11	1.05	1.16
Expected Goals Against	1.75	1.75	1.75