Fiorentina look to bounce back after a heavy 3-0 defeat to Udinese, but they will have to do so without banned defender Fabiano Parisi, while Moise Kean remains a doubt. As Parma have been in a promising form of late, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Viola’s recent form is mixed, collecting 1.30 points per game, and their home record is worrying: only 0.80 PPG and just 20% clean sheets at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. Despite averaging 1.69 xG at home, they often fail to convert, scoring only 1.40 goals per match in Florence.
Parma, meanwhile, travel with confidence. The Gli Emiliani have taken 1.50 points per game overall, but crucially, they are far stronger on the road, earning 2.00 PPG away from home. Their defence travels well too, conceding just 1.00 goal per away match with a solid 60% clean-sheet rate. Lautaro Valenti’s suspension is a setback, yet Parma’s structure remains stable.
Given Fiorentina BTTS of 70% Parma’s shaky defence, Both Teams to Score seems like the best betting option for this Serie A matchup. Additionally, Half-Time Draw and Parma or Draw bets seem appealing.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Fiorentina vs Parma prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Fiorentina 1 - 1 Parma
Fiorentina vs Parma Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Moise Kean @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Moise Kean @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Hans Nicolussi Caviglia @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Parma +1 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Parma +1 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ 100 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Fiorentina to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Fiorentina - No @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Fiorentina vs Parma?
You can place your bets on Fiorentina vs Parma at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferFiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllldwwwll | 1.30 |
| Home | lldwl | 0.80 |
| Away | wlwwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.69 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.47 | 1.63 |
Parma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwddllwwwd | 1.50 |
| Home | ldlwd | 1.00 |
| Away | wdlww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.50 | 0.95 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.70 | 1.51 | 1.90 |
Fiorentina vs Parma Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Fiorentina (21%)
24 Matches
Parma (25%)
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