Fiorentina vs Pisa Prediction & Betting Tips | 23/02/2026

Fiorentina vs Pisa Prediction and Betting Tips | 23 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

18 February 2026 • 10:22 UTC • 1 min read

Fiorentina vs Pisa Prediction and Betting Tips 23 February 2026

Fiorentina are brimming with confidence after their impressive 2-1 win away at Como and given Pisa's dip in form, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-1 home win. The Viola's recent form is mixed (LLLDW), but at home they remain competitive: 1.00 PPG, 80% BTTS, and a strong 1.80 expected goals suggest they consistently create chances. Defensive reliability is still an issue (only 20% home clean sheets), but a scoring rate of 1.2 goals per home match should trouble Pisa’s fragile back line. Rolando Mandragora is banned for the hosts, but the 28-year-old midfielder should not be sorely missed.

Pisa continue their downward slide after a 2-1 defeat to Milan, with Vural, Denoon, and Semper all doubtful again. Their form is poor—DLLDL, with 0% wins across all venues. Away from home, they average 1.4 goals scored, but concede 2.2, and their 0.80 PPG highlights their lack of competitiveness. Their xGA (1.64 away) confirms their defensive vulnerability.

Considering Pisa's poor form and shaky defence, Home Win should definitely be considered, alongside Fiorentina Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (Fiorentina BTTS 80%, Pisa concede 2.2 per match).

This Serie A match will be played on Monday 23 February 2026 at 17:30.

What is our Fiorentina vs Pisa prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Fiorentina 2 - 1 Pisa

Fiorentina vs Pisa Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Moise Kean @ 125 Odds
First Goalscorer: Moise Kean @ 400 Odds
To be Booked: Arturo Calabresi @ 140 Odds
Asian Handicap: Fiorentina -0.5 @ -143 Odds
European Handicap: Fiorentina +1 @ -600 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
Draw No Bet: Fiorentina to Win @ -350 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Fiorentina to Win/Fiorentina to Win @ 162 Odds
Clean Sheet: Fiorentina - No @ -188 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Fiorentina vs Pisa?

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Fiorentina Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llldw	1.20
Home	wdlld	1.00
Away	ldwlw	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	20%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	2.80	2.80
Scored	1.30	1.20	1.40
Conceded	1.50	1.60	1.40
BTTS	80%	80%	80%
Clean Sheets	10%	20%	0%
Failed to Score	10%	0%	20%
Expected Goals	1.58	1.80	1.37
Expected Goals Against	1.54	1.30	1.77

Pisa Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dlldl	0.50
Home	lldll	0.20
Away	dddld	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	3.20	2.80	3.60
Scored	1.00	0.60	1.40
Conceded	2.20	2.20	2.20
BTTS	70%	60%	80%
Clean Sheets	10%	0%	20%
Failed to Score	30%	40%	20%
Expected Goals	1.28	1.29	1.27
Expected Goals Against	1.62	1.60	1.64