Lazio will look to make full use of home advantage as they welcome Cremonese in what appears a clear mismatch on recent numbers and we predict that they will do so with a 1-0 win. Maurizio Sarri’s side have been especially solid at the Olimpico, taking 2.60 points per game at home, winning 80% of those matches and conceding just 0.20 goals on average. Overall, Lazio have seen only 1.20 goals per game in their fixtures, with an impressive 70% clean-sheet rate and BTTS landing in just 10%, highlighting their control-first approach. Mattia Zaccagni and Toma Bašić are both suspended, slightly limiting attacking rotation, but the structure has barely suffered in recent weeks.
Cremonese arrive with mixed form, collecting 1.10 points per game overall and conceding 1.40 goals on average. While they do score 1.20 goals per match, their expected goals against (1.80) suggests sustained pressure, particularly away from home. The visitors will be without key midfielder Martin Payero due to suspension, which weakens their ability to compete centrally.
Given Lazio's dominant home record and defensive edge, Home Win, Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals markets seem appealing.
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 20 December 2025 at 17:00.
What is our Lazio vs Cremonese prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lazio 1 - 0 Cremonese
Lazio vs Cremonese Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Valentin Castellanos @ 105 Odds
- To be booked: Mattia Valoti @ 105 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLazio Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwdw | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwwd | 2.60 |
| Away | ddllw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Conceded | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.54 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.28 | 1.47 |
Cremonese Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwl | 1.10 |
| Home | ddllw | 1.00 |
| Away | lwlwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.11 | 1.13 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.80 | 1.46 | 2.13 |
Lazio vs Cremonese Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lazio (100%)
3 Matches
Cremonese (0%)
