Lazio and Fiorentina face each other at Stadio Olimpico in what is expected to be a close encounter, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. With Marusic and Noslin suspended and Dia and Dele-Bashiru on international duty, Lazio squad depth will be tested. Losing Taty Castellanos to West Ham further reduces Lazio’s attacking options, which is reflected in their modest scoring return of 1.00 goal per home match. Still, Lazio defend well in Rome, conceding just 0.50 goals per game and keeping 67% clean sheets at home. Their xGA of 1.18 also highlights solid defensive structure.
The Viola travel to "The Eternal City" with problems of their own, especially away from home where they have lost every match and scored just 0.25 goals per game. Their 75% failed-to-score rate on the road is especially alarming. Dzeko and Richardson are doubtful, but Moise Kean is expected to return to the XI, offering more mobility in attack. La Viola’s overall expected goals of 1.68 shows they do create chances, but defensive leaks—conceding 1.75 away—remain a concern. Historically, Lazio hold the edge with 20 wins from 36 meetings.
As both sides struggle for goals and Lazio rely on their solid defence, Under 2.5 goals bet is worth considering. Additionally, Draw and Half-Time Draw markets seem appealing.
This Serie A match will be played on Wednesday 7 January 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Lazio vs Fiorentina prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lazio 1 - 1 Fiorentina
Lazio vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Christian Kouame @ 220 Odds
- To be booked: Toma Basic @ 130 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLazio Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwddl | 1.50 |
| Home | wwddl | 1.83 |
| Away | llwd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.30 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.18 | 1.53 |
Fiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwlw | 1.00 |
| Home | lwlww | 1.67 |
| Away | llll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.67 | 0.25 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.68 | 1.81 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.15 | 1.70 |
Lazio vs Fiorentina Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lazio (56%)
36 Matches
Fiorentina (28%)
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