Napoli aim to build on a 2-0 win over Cremonese, but given their recent negative record against Lazio, our prediction points toward a 1-1 draw. The Biancocelesti are undefeated in the previous four Serie A games, with the team losing only one game at home this season. As Lazio have been conceding only 0.20 goals per game at home this term, a low-scoring affair is on the cards. Important Matteo Guendouzi is back from suspension, increasing Lazio’s chances for positive outcome.
The reigning champions, on the other hand, did well to beat Cremonese 2-0 in their last game of 2025. Napoli are after their fourth consecutive clean sheet in all competitions and we predict that they will rely on their rock-solid defence in Sunday’s matinee. You should bear in mind that the Partenopei have been scoring only 0.75 goals per game on the road of late. Antonio Conte has no fresh injury worries ahead of the trip to Rome.
As Lazio rarely concede at home and Napoli struggle offensively on the travels, Under 2.5 goals seem like a sure bet, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 11:30.
What is our Lazio vs Napoli prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lazio 1 - 1 Napoli
Lazio vs Napoli Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Lorenzo Lucca @ 200 Odds
- To be booked: Toma Basic @ 137 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLazio Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwdd | 1.60 |
| Home | wwwdd | 2.20 |
| Away | dllwd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.47 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.11 | 1.42 |
Napoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwww | 2.20 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.67 |
| Away | wllw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.52 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.14 | 1.10 | 1.22 |
Lazio vs Napoli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lazio (28%)
39 Matches
Napoli (51%)
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