Lazio head into this match under pressure after a disappointing 2-0 defeat to Torino, and with Pedro and Rovella sidelined plus Elseid Hysaj a major doubt, Maurizio Sarri’s options are limited. Therefore, we predict that the capital club will play out a 1-1 draw with Sassuolo on Matchday 28. The Biancocelesti have struggled for cutting edge, scoring just 0.90 goals per match this season and failing to find the net in 50% of their games. Even at home they average only 1.25 goals, while their expected goals at the Olimpico stands at 1.59 xG, suggesting potential but poor conversion. Defensively, Lazio have kept 0% clean sheets at home, conceding 2.25 goals per match, which is a worrying trend.
Sassuolo, meanwhile, travel to "The Eternal City" with momentum after a morale-boosting 2-1 win over Atalanta, though the absence of suspended striker Andrea Pinamonti is significant. Still, the Neroverdi have taken 1.60 points per game overall, scoring 1.20 goals per match and showing improved discipline in recent outings. Their away numbers are steady, conceding just 1.25 goals per away match, while generating 1.43 xG on the road.
Historically, this fixture delivers goals—96% of H2H meetings have gone over 1.5—making another open contest likely. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals seems like a sure bet, alongside Both Teams to Score as Lazio concede 2.25 per home match and Sassuolo boast BTTS in 50% away fixtures.
This Serie A match will be played on Monday 9 March 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Lazio vs Sassuolo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lazio 1 - 1 Sassuolo
Lazio vs Sassuolo Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Daniel Maldini @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Daniel Maldini @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Luca Barani @ 120 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Sassuolo +0.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Sassuolo +1 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -175 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Lazio to Win @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Lazio - No @ -250 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Lazio vs Sassuolo?
You can place your bets on Lazio vs Sassuolo at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferLazio Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwldwddldl | 1.10 |
| Home | dlwl | 1.00 |
| Away | wddddl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 3.50 | 1.50 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 2.25 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.22 | 1.59 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.29 | 1.59 |
Sassuolo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlllwwlwww | 1.60 |
| Home | dlwlww | 1.67 |
| Away | llww | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.83 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.22 | 1.08 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.86 | 2.04 | 1.60 |
Lazio vs Sassuolo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lazio (57%)
23 Matches
Sassuolo (26%)
USA
Belgium
Mexico
Portugal
Lithuania
Georgia
Armenia
Belarus
Colombia
France
Norway
Switzerland
