Lecce return to the Via del Mare aiming to build on their encouraging 1-1 draw with Juventus, with Lameck Banda scoring on his first game back from AFCON. Given the number of absentees for AS Roma, we predict a 1-1 draw. Eusebio Di Francesco still cannot count on midfield anchor Lassana Coulibaly, whose absence continues to affect Lecce’s balance. The hosts remain inconsistent, winning just 30% of matches overall and failing to score in 50% of their games. Their expected goals at home sits at 1.31, but they concede 1.19 xGA, showing vulnerability when pressed by stronger sides.
The Romans head into Tuesday's clash weakened defensively, with Mario Hermoso and Gianluca Mancini suspended, while Evan Ndicka is still on international duty. Despite that, Daniele De Rossi’s side have been effective in attack, scoring 1.50 goals per match and winning 60% overall. Their away form is more unstable—1.20 points per game, with two defeats in their last three—but Roma’s superior quality in the final third, supported by an expected goals of 1.34, still makes them slight favourites. Historically, this matchup heavily favours Roma, who have won 12 of the last 15 meetings.
As Lecce rarely score freely and Roma may approach cautiously, we believe that there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Serie A match will be played on Tuesday 6 January 2026 at 17:00.
What is our Lecce vs AS Roma prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lecce 1 - 1 AS Roma
Lecce vs AS Roma Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Artem Dovbyk @ 125 Odds
- To be booked: Jan Ziolkowski @ 160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLecce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwld | 1.10 |
| Home | ldwwl | 1.40 |
| Away | lwlld | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.14 | 1.31 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.19 | 1.80 |
AS Roma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwl | 1.80 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | wlwll | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.51 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.09 | 1.45 |
Lecce vs AS Roma Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lecce (7%)
15 Matches
AS Roma (80%)
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