Lecce desperately need a reaction after a poor run of form, having collected just 0.70 points per game overall and losing four of their last five league outings. Given their struggles up front, we predict that they will suffer a 2-1 loss to Lazio on Saturday evening. Defender Danilo Veiga returns from suspension, but Kialonda Gaspar sits out the final match of his three-game ban, weakening the home back line. At the Via del Mare, Lecce’s numbers improve slightly (1.20 PPG, 40% win rate), yet scoring remains a major concern: they average only 0.80 home goals, failing to score in 40% of home matches. Their xG profile (1.19 xG vs 1.23 xGA) suggests they often struggle to create clear chances.
Lazio were humbled 3-0 by Como and Maurizio Sarri is expected to refresh his starting XI, but the Biancocelesti show better stability on the road than at home. They average 1.75 points per game away, concede just 0.50 away goals, and keep clean sheets in 50% of away matches. Although their attack is inconsistent (0.75 goals scored on the road), Lecce’s defensive lapses and poor form give Lazio a clear opportunity to bounce back.
Despite their heavy loss to Como, Lazio are still seen as hot favourites to win Saturday's clash due to their quality depth. Therefore, Away Win should be considered, alongside over 1.5 goals (87% H2H) and Over 2.5 goals (60%).
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 24 January 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Lecce vs Lazio prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lecce 1 - 2 Lazio
Lecce vs Lazio Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Petar Ratkov @ 210 Odds
- To be booked: Toma Basic @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLecce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllll | 0.70 |
| Home | wwlll | 1.20 |
| Away | lldll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 0.95 | 1.19 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.70 | 1.23 | 2.18 |
Lazio Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldwl | 1.30 |
| Home | ddldl | 1.00 |
| Away | lwdw | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.20 | 1.54 |
Lecce vs Lazio Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lecce (33%)
15 Matches
Lazio (47%)
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