Lecce do not seem to be at their sharpest following a disappointing 2–0 home defeat to Roma, a match that once again exposed their attacking limitations. As Parma are desperate to get back on course, we predict a 1-0 away win. The Giallorossi have scored just 0.50 goals per game across all settings this season and have failed to find the net in 60% of their matches. Defensively they are respectable—1.17 goals conceded per game at home, with 33% clean sheets—but their difficulties up front continue to hunt them. No fresh injuries is the only positive for the hosts.
The Gli Emiliani also suffered a 2–0 setback, losing to league leaders Inter, but their overall profile is more balanced. They are significantly stronger away from home (1.75 PPG, 50% win rate) and show improved attacking output on their travels (1.25 goals scored, 0% failed-to-score rate). Even with Frigan, Ndiaye, and Suzuki still sidelined, their numbers remain solid. Expected metrics support Parma’s slight edge: 1.26 xG away vs Lecce’s modest 1.23 xG at home.
Historically, this matchup is tight but leans Parma’s way (6 wins to 5), and goals are relatively common (60% Over 2.5, 53% BTTS). Given Lecce’s persistent scoring issues, we are tempted to place our bets on Away Win. Additionally, Parma or Draw and Parma to Score First markets seem appealing.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 11 January 2026 at 11:30.
What is our Lecce vs Parma prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lecce 0 - 1 Parma
Lecce vs Parma Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Francesco Camarda @ 240 Odds
- To be booked: Ylber Ramadani @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferLecce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwldl | 1.10 |
| Home | dwwll | 1.17 |
| Away | wlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.08 | 1.23 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.19 | 1.99 |
Parma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwdl | 1.10 |
| Home | dllwl | 0.67 |
| Away | wlwd | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.33 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.22 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 1.95 | 1.50 |
Lecce vs Parma Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lecce (33%)
15 Matches
Parma (40%)
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