Milan return to San Siro after a narrow 1-0 win over Cagliari, a result that extended their strong league momentum. As Massimiliano Allegri's men are brimming with confidence ahead of Genoa's visit, we predict a 2-0 home win. The Rossoneri have no fresh injury concerns, though striker Christopher Nkunku is expected to miss out again. Milan’s home numbers underline their reliability: 2.50 points per game, a 75% win rate, and 1.75 goals scored per home match. Their defence has also been solid, conceding just 0.50 goals per game at home while keeping 75% clean sheets.
The Rossoblu, meanwhile, come into this clash after a 1-1 draw with Pisa and face uncertainty over Messias, Gronbaek, and Cornet, all rated doubtful. Their overall performances remain inconsistent, reflected in a 1.20 PPG, and a worrying defensive record of 1.90 goals conceded per game. Away from home they score slightly better (1.60 per match) but allow far too many chances, shown by their high xGA of 1.85. Genoa have failed to keep a clean sheet all season, which is problematic against a Milan side in rhythm.
Considering Milan's excellent home form (75% wins) and Genoa’s defensive issues, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Milan Over 1.5 goals and BTTS - No.
This Serie A match will be played on Thursday 8 January 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Milan vs Genoa prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Milan 2 - 0 Genoa
Milan vs Genoa Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Rafael Leao @ 130 Odds
- To be booked: Johan Vasquez @ 105 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMilan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlww | 2.00 |
| Home | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Away | wlwlw | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.25 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.75 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.58 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 |
Genoa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllld | 1.20 |
| Home | dwlld | 1.00 |
| Away | wdlwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.68 | 1.51 | 1.85 |
Milan vs Genoa Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Milan (58%)
33 Matches
Genoa (21%)
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