Lazio aim to build on a 2-0 win over Lecce, but given their negative record at Stadio San Siro, we predict a 1-0 home win. The Rossoneri have been performing above expectations under Massimiliano Allegri, with the team suffering only one loss in the process. As Milan have been averaging 2.00 goals per at home, we believe that there is a big value in betting on Home Team Over 1.5. Santiago Gimenez remains in the recovery room, but Rafael Leao should be an adequate replacement for the Mexican up front.
The Biancocelesti, on the other hand, are a team with two faces. The capital club have been impressive at home this season, while struggling on the travels. With Lazio netting only 0.6 goals per game in the last 10 away outings, we do not believe that they are capable of spoiling Milan’s party at “San Siro”. Adding to their woes, key attacker Taty Castellanos is likely to miss out with injury.
Given Milan’s fine display in the triumph over their bitter rivals Inter, we are tempted to bet on the home team, with addition values on Over 1.5 goals (80% H2H) and Over 3.5 yellow cards.
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 29 November 2025 at 19:45.
What is our Milan vs Lazio prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Milan 2 - 0 Lazio
Milan vs Lazio Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Santiago Gimenez @ 110 Odds
- To be booked: Emanuele Sala @ 130 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMilan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwdw | 2.20 |
| Home | wwwdw | 2.60 |
| Away | wdddw | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.83 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.24 | 1.60 |
Lazio Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwlw | 1.50 |
| Home | ldwww | 2.00 |
| Away | lwddl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.25 | 1.34 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.46 | 1.34 |
Milan vs Lazio Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Milan (44%)
41 Matches
Lazio (24%)
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