AC Milan host Lecce aiming to continue their strong home form, where they average 2.5 goals per game and have kept clean sheets in 50% of matches. Given Lecce's four-game losing run at Stadio San Siro, we predict a 3-0 home win. Defender Strahinja Pavlovic is expected to return for the Rossoneri, helping stabilize a defense that has conceded only 0.75 goals per home match. Despite missing January signing Niclas Fullkrug, Milan remain a potent attacking force, with an expected goals of 1.95 at home, highlighting their ability to create quality chances.
The Giallorossi have been having their ups and downs, winning just 25% of their away games and scoring 0.5 goals per match on the road. Key players Lameck Banda and Yiber Ramadani are back from suspension, but defender Kialonda Gaspar still has to serve his ban. Their defensive struggles are evident, conceding 1.25 goals per away match, and with Milan’s firepower, they could be in for a tough outing. Historically, Milan dominate the head-to-head, with 11 wins and 5 draws in 16 meetings, and Lecce have never beaten them.
As Lecce suit Milan, we believe that punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win. Additionally, Milan Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total bets seem appealing as 63% of past meetings have produced 3 or more goals.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 18 January 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Milan vs Lecce prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Milan 3 - 0 Lecce
Milan vs Lecce Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Rafael Leao @ 100 Odds
- To be booked: Jamil Siebert @ 250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMilan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdd | 1.80 |
| Home | wdwd | 2.00 |
| Away | lwlwd | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.95 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 0.94 | 1.43 |
Lecce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldll | 1.10 |
| Home | wwlll | 1.17 |
| Away | wlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.09 | 1.24 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.15 | 1.99 |
Milan vs Lecce Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Milan (69%)
16 Matches
Lecce (0%)
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Betis
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