What is our Monza vs Cagliari prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Monza 1 - 1 Cagliari
Monza vs Cagliari Preview
Monza will be looking to bounce back from their 3-1 defeat to Lazio as they continue their fight to escape the danger zone. The Biancorossi have been inconsistent at home, and their defensive record remains a concern after conceding regularly in recent outings. Lorenzo Lucchesi’s suspension means Saba Goglichidze is likely to step in, leaving Monza needing a disciplined performance against an opponent growing in confidence. They have averaged 1.75 goals scored per home game, so there is at least some attacking potential for the hosts to draw upon.
Cagliari, meanwhile, earned a valuable 1-1 draw against Juventus and are closing in on a fifth consecutive match without defeat. The Rossoblu have been particularly effective away from home, collecting 2.50 points per game across their latest road fixtures. Their defensive strength has been a major factor in their recent success, while Alessandro Deiola is pushing for a starting role. Trepy and Idrissi remain doubtful, but Cagliari will believe they can take advantage of Monza’s vulnerabilities.
Monza’s need for points could make this competitive, but Cagliari’s recent consistency and defensive solidity give them the edge. Anyhow, we believe that there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals as Cagliari have the best defence in the league, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Serie A match will be played on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 17:30.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Mon 19 Oct, 17:30UK time
Monza vs Cagliari Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreMonza 1-1 Cagliari | 800 | |
| Double Chance1X | -1400 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeDraw / Draw | 600 | |
| Asian HandicapCagliari +1.5 | -122 | |
| European HandicapCagliari +2 | -138 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 100 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -450 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals | 110 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -225 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -600 | |
| Clean SheetRoma: No | -125 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerDonyell Malen | -150 | |
| First GoalscorerDonyell Malen | 260 | |
| To be BookedAlessandro Deiola | 175 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferMonza Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwllwdlwl | 1.30 |
| Home | lwlw | 1.50 |
| Away | wlwdll | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.25 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.65 | 1.64 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.57 | 1.28 |
Cagliari Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwwllwwwd | 1.80 |
| Home | dwllwd | 1.33 |
| Away | dwww | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 1.33 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.29 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.79 | 1.76 | 1.83 |
Monza vs Cagliari Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Monza (25%)
4 Matches
Cagliari (50%)





