Napoli and Roma face off in the Derby del Sole with both sides pushing for a European spot and entering the clash in competitive form. Therefore, we predict that they will play out a 1-1 draw at "Diego Maradona". The Neapolitans head into the match after a dramatic 3-2 win over Genoa, sealed by Rasmus Hojlund’s late penalty. With Romelu Lukaku fit again but expected to start on the bench, Hojlund should once more lead the line. The hosts have been consistent at home, averaging 1.60 points per game and scoring 1.4 goals per match in Naples, while their expected goals numbers (1.59 xG) reflect their steady attacking output.
Roma, meanwhile, have been producing fine performances under Gian Piero Gasperini. The capital club may be without Dybala, El Shaarawy and Kone, which could limit their creativity in the final third. Still, the Giallorossi boast one of Serie A’s strongest defences, conceding only 0.7 goals per match overall and keeping 50% clean sheets. Their away form remains solid too, averaging 1.40 points per game.
Historically, this fixture has produced tense, balanced meetings—Napoli lead with 16 wins from 37, and BTTS has hit in 51% of clashes. Napoli BTTS is 60%, and with Roma being more clinical in big games, Both Teams to Score is our main betting tip, alongside Over 4.5 Yellow Cards as Derby del Sole is traditionally intense and physical.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Napoli vs AS Roma prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Napoli 1 - 1 AS Roma
Napoli vs AS Roma Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Romelu Lukaku @ 225 Odds
- First Goalscorer: No Goalscorer @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Jan Ziolkowski @ 150 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Napoli +0.5 @ -308 Odds
- European Handicap: Roma +1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 300 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Napoli - No @ -175 Odds
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View OfferNapoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllww | 1.60 |
| Home | ddwlw | 1.60 |
| Away | wddlw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.59 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.23 | 1.10 |
AS Roma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddlw | 1.70 |
| Home | wlwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | lwwdl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.85 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.98 | 0.91 | 1.04 |
Napoli vs AS Roma Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Napoli (43%)
37 Matches
AS Roma (32%)
Hamburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Schalke
Armenia Bielefeld
Elversberg
Magdeburg
Bayern Munich
Monchengladbach
PSG
Monaco
Paderborn
Braunschweig
