After holding Inter to a 2-2 draw in the Serie A derby, Napoli take on Parma in a postponed fixture. As Antonio Conte’s men are eager to stay in the Scudetto race, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Partenopei are still sitting in third place in the standings, four points behind league leaders Inter. As Napoli have been scoring 1.80 goals per home game of late with an xG 1.49, home win should definitely be considered. Defender Juan Jesus is banned for the midweek clash, but Antonio Conte has strength in depth.
The Gli Emiliani, on the other hand, defeated Lecce 2-1 at Stadio Via del Mare at the weekend, but it has to be noted that the Giallorossi winger Lameck Banda was sent-off in the early stages of the second half. Even though Parma have been producing fine performances on the road of late (scoring 1.40 goals per game), they are still seen as big underdogs in Wednesday’s clash as Napoli have turned Stadio Diego Armando Maradona into a real fortress. All Lovik, Ndiaye, Suzuki, and Frigan are out of contention with injuries for the visiting side.
In their last meeting in Naples, Antonio Conte’s men defeated Parma 2-1 and given the importance of this game for the reigning champions, Home Win is our main betting tip. Additionally, BTTS and Over 2.5 goals seem interesting as Parma have improved offensively on the travels.
This Serie A match will be played on Wednesday 14 January 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Napoli vs Parma prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Napoli 2 - 1 Parma
Napoli vs Parma Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Romelu Lukaku @ -120 Odds
- To be booked: Nahuel Estevez @ 240 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferNapoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdd | 1.80 |
| Home | dwwwd | 2.20 |
| Away | llwwd | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.49 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.10 | 1.04 | 1.15 |
Parma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdlw | 1.40 |
| Home | dllwl | 0.80 |
| Away | wlwdw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.88 | 1.38 |
Napoli vs Parma Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Napoli (55%)
20 Matches
Parma (30%)
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