Napoli vs Sassuolo Prediction & Betting Tips | 17/01/2026

Napoli vs Sassuolo Prediction and Betting Tips | 17 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

14 January 2026 • 09:17 UTC • 1 min read

Napoli vs Sassuolo Prediction and Betting Tips 17 January 2026

Napoli continue their quest for Scudetto, welcoming back centre-back Juan Jesus from suspension to further strengthen Antonio Conte’s defensive structure. As Sassuolo are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a 2-0 home win. The Partenopei are unbeaten in five and have been particularly reliable at home, averaging 2.20 points per game and conceding just 0.80 goals per match. Napoli’s attack has also found rhythm, scoring 1.80 goals per home game, meaning that they will almost surely find the net against the Neroverdi. With no fresh injury concerns, Conte is expected to field a near-full-strength XI.

Sassuolo, on the other hand, continue to struggle for consistency. Despite Woyo Coulibaly returning from international duty, he is not expected to feature prominently. The Neroverdi have collected only 1.00 point per game overall, scoring 1.20 goals but conceding 1.50, and keeping just 10% clean sheets. Their away xGA of 1.97 highlights ongoing defensive fragility. Historically, the matchup heavily favours Napoli, who have won 15 of the last 24 meetings.

Given Napoli’s superior form, defensive solidity and H2H dominance, Antonio Conte's men head into the match as clear favourites. Taking everything into account, Home Win seems like a sure bet, with additional value on Napoli to Score First and Napoli/Napoli.

This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 17:00.

What is our Napoli vs Sassuolo prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Napoli 2 - 0 Sassuolo

Napoli vs Sassuolo Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-0
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Anytime Goalscorer: Romelu Lukaku @ 110 Odds
To be booked: Luca Barani @ 137 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds

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Napoli Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwdd	1.80
Home	dwwwd	2.20
Away	llwwd	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	60%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	2.60	2.20
Scored	1.50	1.80	1.20
Conceded	0.90	0.80	1.00
BTTS	40%	60%	20%
Clean Sheets	40%	40%	40%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	40%
Expected Goals	1.40	1.49	1.32
Expected Goals Against	1.10	1.04	1.15

Sassuolo Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lddll	1.00
Home	dwldl	1.00
Away	wlddl	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.70	2.80	2.60
Scored	1.20	1.20	1.20
Conceded	1.50	1.60	1.40
BTTS	50%	60%	40%
Clean Sheets	10%	0%	20%
Failed to Score	40%	40%	40%
Expected Goals	1.18	1.35	1.00
Expected Goals Against	1.71	1.44	1.97