Serie A Predictions

Cremonese

Cremonese

Prediction:
1-3

Match Time & Date:

8 November 2022

19:45

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AC Milan

AC Milan

Stadio Giovanni Zini will host Tuesday’s Serie A game between Cremonese and Milan, the two teams with totally different ambitions in the 2022/2023 season. Cremonese’s main goal is to secure the elite division survival, but they have yet to record a win in the process. Cyriel Dessers remains on the sidelines with injury, while both Ionut Radu and Vlad Chiriches are major ... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 November 2022 at 19:45

Spezia

Spezia

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

8 November 2022

17:30

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Udinese

Udinese

Following an unlucky 2-1 loss to Milan, Spezia will look to give fans some cheer when they face Udinese on Matchday 14. The Bianconeri are now on a three-game losing run in the Serie A, with the reputable bookies see them as underdogs in Tuesday’s clash. Daniel Maldini should keep his place up front after scoring a wonder goal against his former club, while midfielder Vikt... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 November 2022 at 17:30

Napoli

Napoli

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

8 November 2022

17:30

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Empoli

Empoli

Napoli will look to move one step closer to winning their first Scudetto since 1990 when they welcome Empoli to their Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Tuesday evening. The Neapolitans came from behind to beat Atalanta in Bergamo, with the team extending their winning run to nine games in the Serie A.

Luciano Spalletti’s troops are brimming with confidence ahead of ... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 November 2022 at 17:30

Juventus

Juventus

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

6 November 2022

19:45

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Inter

Inter

There will be fireworks when Juventus and Inter square off against each other in the Derby d’Italia on Sunday. The Bianconeri recorded a hard-fought 1-0 win over Lecce at the weekend, with the team extending their winning run to three games, but the bookies see them as underdogs in the Serie A derby. Danilo is back from the Champions League ban, but seeing that all Pogba, ... Read More...

This match will be played on 6 November 2022 at 19:45

AS Roma

AS Roma

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

6 November 2022

17:00

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Lazio

Lazio

All eyes will be on Stadio Olimpico when Roma and Olimpico go head to head in the Derby della Capitale on Sunday evening. The Giallorossi aim to build on a 3-1 win over Verona in the “City of Love”, and the bookies see them as favourites to win the local derby. Both Zaniolo and Mancini are back from the Europa League bans, while all Darboe, Dybala, Spinazzola, and Wijnal... Read More...

This match will be played on 6 November 2022 at 17:00

Sampdoria

Sampdoria

Prediction:
0-2

Match Time & Date:

6 November 2022

14:00

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Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Sunday’s football game at Stadio Luigi Ferraris pits together Sampdoria and Fiorentina, the two teams with entirely different ambitions for the remainder of the season. La Samp’s main goal is to secure the Serie A survival, while the Viola aim to represent Italy in European competitions next term. Midfielder Harry Winks is sidelined with injury for the home side, while R... Read More...

This match will be played on 6 November 2022 at 14:00

Monza

Monza

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

6 November 2022

14:00

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Verona

Verona

Following three consecutive Serie A defeats, Monza will look to get back on course when they welcome Verona to their Brianteo on Matchday 13. The Biancorossi are low on spirits ahead of Sunday’s clash, but it seems as if they will not have a better opportunity than this to return to winning ways. Pablo Mari Villar is sidelined with a back injury, while fellow defender Andr... Read More...

This match will be played on 6 November 2022 at 14:00

Bologna

Bologna

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

6 November 2022

11:30

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Torino

Torino

Stadio Renato Dall’Ara will host Sunday’s Serie A game between Bologna and Torino, the two mid-table sides. The Rossoblu aim to build on back-to-back wins over Lecce and Monza, but this game will be anything but a walk in the park for Sinisa Mihajlovic’s troops. Since key attacker Marko Arnautovic should be fit for the match, we are positive that the hosts will find th... Read More...

This match will be played on 6 November 2022 at 11:30

Milan

Milan

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

5 November 2022

19:45

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Spezia

Spezia

Milan will look to bounce back from a 2-1 loss to Torino when they host Spezia to their Stadio San Siro on Saturday evening. The Rossoneri are now six points behind league leaders Napoli, meaning that this match is of big importance for the reigning champions. Experienced attacker Olivier Giroud is widely expected to return to the starting XI, while all Saelemaekers, Ibrahim... Read More...

This match will be played on 5 November 2022 at 19:45

Atalanta

Atalanta

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

5 November 2022

17:00

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Napoli

Napoli

All eyes will be on Gewiss Stadium when Atalanta and Napoli square off against each other in the Serie A derby. The Orobici faced no difficulties in a 2-0 win over Empoli, with the team quickly bouncing back from a loss to Lazio, and they are now on a quest to melt Napoli’s advantage to only two points. There are no fresh injury worries in the home team, but midfielder Mar... Read More...

This match will be played on 5 November 2022 at 17:00

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
16 October 2025 • 17:35 UTC • 1 min read
Serie A Predictions

Weekly Serie A Betting Tips

Here you’ll find our weekly Serie A tips across the most important football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 1.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result. These markets hold consistent value in Italy’s top division thanks to Serie A’s tactical balance, increasing goal averages, and the strong influence of home advantage.

Serie A Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
PIsaPIsaVeronaVerona18/10/2025, 14:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
LecceLecceSassuoloSassuolo18/10/2025, 14:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
TorinoTorinoNapoliNapoli18/10/2025, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
AS RomaAS RomaInterInter18/10/2025, 19:45
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
ComoComoJuventusJuventus19/10/2025, 11:30
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
GenoaGenoaParmaParma19/10/2025, 14:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
CagliariCagliariBolognaBologna19/10/2025, 14:00
  • Correct Score: 0-1
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
AtalantaAtalantaLazioLazio19/10/2025, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
MilanMilanFiorentinaFiorentina19/10/2025, 19:45
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
CremoneseCremoneseUdineseUdinese20/10/2025, 19:45
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw

Serie A Outrights Tips for 2025/2026 season

Outright betting in Serie A looks at season-long outcomes rather than single fixtures. These markets include Winner, Top Four Finish, European Qualification, and Relegation (to Serie B). Betting prices are available before the Serie A season starts but shift throughout the campaign in response to form swings, injuries, and transfer moves. Since outright wagers tie up stakes for months, profitable betting depends on careful research, timing, and disciplined bankroll management.

Our expert predictions for the 2025/26 Serie A season are outlined below.

Who is most likely to win Serie A this season?

Priced at 6/5 (45.5%) by most major bookmakers, Napoli are the favourites to win the 2025/26 Serie A. After reclaiming the Scudetto last season, they have further strengthened with the marquee arrival of Kevin De Bruyne and the leadership of Antonio Conte, a coach synonymous with domestic success. Inter Milan (9/2, 18.2%) are next in line as Serie A winners, still powered by Lautaro Martínez and determined to end their recent near misses. Juventus (11/2, 15.4%) follow, relying on Igor Tudor’s steady management and a core of emerging talents.

More detail on the 3 contenders most likely to win Serie A this season is given below.

  1. Napoli (6/5, 45.5%). Napoli enter the 2025/26 season as the defending Serie A champions and the bookmakers’ favourites to win the Scudetto (Serie A title). Napoli’s triumph in 2024/25 restored the southern club to the pinnacle of Italian football, and the summer has only strengthened their position. The arrival of Kevin De Bruyne provides world-class creativity in midfield, while Antonio Conte’s tactical intensity has already reshaped the team’s mentality. Alongside Conte’s influence, the presence of leaders such as Romelu Lukaku, Scott McTominay, and Rasmus Højlund ensures Napoli possess both depth and experience in key positions. With momentum from last season’s title and the squad upgrades made in the transfer market, Napoli look well prepared to defend their crown and remain the most likely winners of Serie A in 2025/26.
  2. Inter Milan (9/2, 18.2%). Inter Milan remain the most consistent challengers to win Serie A in 2025/26. After consecutive strong seasons in both Serie A and Europe, the Nerazzurri (“black-blues”) enter this campaign with continuity in their key players, especially captain Lautaro Martínez, who has developed into one of the league’s most reliable scorers. Cristian Chivu now faces the task of guiding a side that fell just short under Simone Inzaghi, but the foundation is still intact. Hakan Çalhanoğlu drives play from midfield, and the defence remains one of the most organised in Italy. Inter’s chances to win Serie A depend on Chivu’s ability to translate his playing experience into managerial consistency, but their squad quality makes Inter Milan the strongest northern rival to Napoli in the race for the Scudetto.
  3. Juventus (11/2, 15.4%). Juventus enter the season as outsiders but remain firmly in the mix to win Serie A in 2025/26. Igor Tudor took charge last season and quickly restored stability, guiding the Bianconeri back into the Champions League. A young core led by Kenan Yildiz, supported by Jonathan David and Dusan Vlahovic, offers attacking options capable of breaking through any defence. Juve’s discipline, combined with a renewed emphasis on structured play, should keep them competitive in tight matches. Their biggest challenge will be sustaining consistency across a long campaign, but Juventus remain a serious contender to win Serie A this season alongside Napoli and Inter.

Other contenders likely to challenge for the Serie A title include AC Milan at 13/2 (13.3%), led by Rafael Leão and aiming to rebound after an inconsistent 2024/25. Milan’s attacking depth, boosted by emerging talent and the stability of Massimiliano Allegri’s system, keeps them in the conversation as an outsider for the Scudetto (Serie A title). Atalanta at 50/1 (2%) are priced much longer in the markets, yet their recent Europa League triumph in 2024 and attacking approach built around Ademola Lookman mean they cannot be dismissed as potential dark horses in the 2025/26 Serie A chase.

Who is most likely to finish Top 4 in Serie A?

The top contenders to finish in Serie A’s top 4 in 2025/26 are Napoli, priced at 1/9 (90%) by major bookmakers, followed by Inter Milan (4/11, 73.3%), Juventus (2/5, 71.4%), and Atalanta (7/2, 22.2%). In our analysis, these four clubs combine tactical identity, smart recruitment, and elite players capable of shaping the Scudetto race and the battle for Europe’s top competition.

More detail on the 4 teams most likely to finish in Serie A’s top 4 this season follows below.

  • Napoli (1/9, 90%). Napoli are overwhelming favourites to take another Champions League spot through Serie A. As defending champions, they arrive into 2025/26 with the Antonio Conte effect providing intensity, tactical discipline, and a winning mentality. The landmark signing of Kevin De Bruyne gives the team a world-class creator to complement Scott McTominay’s drive and Romelu Lukaku’s physical presence. With two league titles in three years and the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona rocking every home match, Napoli look a near certainty to finish in Serie A’s top 4 once again.
  • Inter Milan (4/11, 73.3%). Inter Milan remain the most consistent challengers to Napoli in the Serie A top 4 race. Cristian Chivu steps into his first full season as manager, but the squad’s core remains largely unchanged, led by Lautaro Martínez and Hakan Çalhanoğlu. Inter’s attack continues to be one of the most potent in Italy, while their defensive spine has preserved its reliability. Twice Champions League finalists in recent seasons, Inter combine continental pedigree with domestic strength, ensuring their place among Serie A’s leading contenders for a Champions League berth.
  • Juventus (2/5, 71.4%). Juventus are another strong candidate to secure a top 4 Serie A finish. Manager Igor Tudor has stabilised the team, while the decision to keep Dušan Vlahović ensures continuity in attack. New arrivals Loïs Openda, Jonathan David, and Edon Zhegrova inject speed, goals, and width, addressing last season’s attacking limitations. Juventus have a history of grinding out results even in transitional years, and with a deeper forward line plus the discipline that defines the club, the Bianconeri are well positioned to maintain their Champions League status via Serie A.
  • Atalanta (7/2, 22.2%). Atalanta enter 2025/26 as outsiders for the top 4, priced longer than other clubs such as AC Milan and Roma, yet we still rate them as the stronger bet to secure a Champions League place through Serie A. Ademola Lookman’s decision to stay preserves their main attacking threat, while Nikola Krstović and Nicola Zalewski bolster both depth and flexibility. Crucially, Atalanta have recent European pedigree, winning the Europa League in 2024, and their tactical identity under Gian Piero Gasperini remains among the best in Italy. With renewed belief and a balanced squad, Atalanta look primed to push above their weight. Despite shorter odds for Milan and Roma, Atalanta’s proven system makes them a reliable value pick for a top 4 finish.

Who is most likely to relegate in Serie A this season?

The leading candidates for relegation from Serie A in 2025/26 are Pisa (4/7, 63.6%), Verona (1/1, 50%), and Lecce (13/8, 38.1%) based on bookmaker odds. Pisa lack Serie A experience and top-level quality after more than three decades away from the top flight. Lecce enter weakened by the departure of key forward Nikola Krstović and their chronic scoring struggles. Verona, who only survived on the final day last season, have lost defensive pillars and remain short of reliable attacking options. All three clubs face uphill battles to survive another season in Italy’s top tier.

More information about the 3 teams most likely to be relegated from Serie A this season is given below.

  • Pisa (4/7, 63.6%). Pisa are the bookmakers’ top pick for relegation from Serie A. Returning to the top flight for the first time since 1991, the Tuscan side impressed defensively in Serie B but lack the depth and star power required at this level. Pisa’s squad has been bolstered with solid but unspectacular recruits, and few of their players have top-flight pedigree. The club’s biggest obstacle is the gulf in quality between Serie B and Serie A, which makes survival improbable. With inexperience and limited attacking options, Pisa stand as the most likely club to drop straight back down to Serie B in 2025/26.
  • Verona (1/1, 50%). Verona survived the final day drama of last season but start 2025/26 as one of the main relegation candidates. The club lost Jackson Tchatchoua and young centre-back Diego Coppola, weakening a back line that already conceded heavily. Manager Paolo Zanetti has attempted to refresh the squad, but goals remain scarce, with no reliable striker to carry the attack. Given their razor-thin margin of survival last year and the loss of key players, Verona face another season on the brink. Unless their attacking deficiencies are resolved, Verona are likely to join the relegation places in Serie A this season.
  • Lecce (13/8, 38.1%). Lecce narrowly avoided relegation in 2024/25 but enter the new season in even greater danger. The sale of Nikola Krstović removes their most reliable attacking outlet in a team that already scored fewer goals than any other in the division last term. New boss Eusebio Di Francesco arrives with a worrying record, having overseen back-to-back drops with Frosinone and Venezia. Lecce’s chronic scoring problems combined with a manager known more for collapses than escapes make them a prime candidate to fall. For all these reasons, Lecce look well placed to be relegated from Serie A in 2025/26.

Other teams in danger of relegation include Sassuolo and Cremonese, both priced at 7/4 (36.4%). Sassuolo stormed back into the top flight by winning Serie B but still face the adjustment of stepping up in quality. Cremonese, promoted via the play-offs, look fragile despite Davide Nicola’s reputation as a survival expert. For these reasons, both Sassuolo and Cremonese are credible outsiders to drop back into Serie B during the 2025/26 campaign.

Who is most likely to finish as Topscorer in Serie A this season?

Lautaro Martínez and Marcus Thuram lead the race to be Serie A’s top scorer in 2025/26, with both priced at 7/1 (12.5%) by major bookmakers. Martínez, Inter’s main attacking option, looks ready to bounce back after a quieter league season, while Thuram’s growing role in Cristian Chivu’s system and his ability to combine creativity with goals make him a strong contender.

More information about the 2 leading candidates to finish as Top Scorers in Serie A this season is given below.

  • Lautaro Martínez (7/1, 12.5%). Inter’s captain and focal point in attack, Lautaro Martínez is once again expected to be among Serie A’s most prolific forwards. Martínez only managed 12 league goals last term, but his nine goals in the Champions League confirmed his ability to deliver on the biggest stage. Two years ago, he scored 24 times in the league, underlining the levels he can return to with the right service. Martínez’s movement inside the box, clinical finishing, and link-up with Marcus Thuram give him every chance of reclaiming his Top Scorer form. Playing for a title contender, he is well-positioned to finish at the top of Serie A’s scoring charts in 2025/26.
  • Marcus Thuram (7/1, 12.5%). While not historically viewed as a pure goalscorer, Marcus Thuram has steadily grown into a decisive attacking figure for Inter. He scored 14 league goals last season and added four more in the Champions League, showing he is able to perform consistently in both domestic and European competitions. Thuram’s pace, strength, and chemistry with Martínez make him a constant threat in transition as well as in settled attacks. With Inter once again expected to challenge for the Scudetto, Thuram’s role as a guaranteed starter in a high-scoring team gives him the profile to contend seriously for the Serie A’s Top Scorer crown.

In Serie A, the top scorer is the player with the most goals across all 38 matches, and the award is officially called the Capocannoniere, which literally means “head gunner” or “top gunner” in Italian. Other possible contenders for the Topscorer race in Serie A this season include Rasmus Højlund at 8/1 (11.1%), whose physical presence and finishing ability make him a key figure, and Jonathan David at 9/1 (10%), who has arrived at Juventus with a strong record of goalscoring in France and now looks set to take on the responsibility of leading the Bianconeri attack.

Who is most likely to deliver the most assists of the Serie A season?

Kevin De Bruyne is the clear favourite to finish as Serie A’s assist leader in 2025/26. Renowned for his splendid passing range and excellent crossing, the Belgian playmaker joins Napoli after dominating Europe’s assist charts with Manchester City. De Bruyne’s creativity is expected to transform Napoli’s attack, providing consistent service to finishers like Romelu Lukaku and Lorenzo Lucca.

During his time at Manchester City, De Bruyne provided more assists than any other player across Europe’s top five leagues, amassing 170 in all competitions and consistently outperforming expected-assist models. His vision allows him to unlock defences with through balls, while his precise crossing creates a steady stream of headed chances, particularly valuable for a Napoli side that now boasts Lucca, the youngest player to hit 20 Serie A goals in the past two seasons, and Romelu Lukaku, one of the league’s best aerial threats. With Napoli aiming to defend their Scudetto title, De Bruyne’s creativity positions him as the player most likely to deliver the most assists in Serie A this season.

Serie A Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Serie A tips and betting advice, FootballPredictions.com monitors five years of historical statistics from Italy’s top flight. These long-term records form the foundation for our previews and predictions across the most popular Serie A betting markets each week. While averages in Serie A sit just above 2.5 goals per match, the data shows a balance between tactical discipline and attacking flair. Our tips for football betting are always grounded in the unique statistical profile of Italian football, with an understanding of its relative tactical conservatism.

Serie A Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.3
Away Teams 1.08
Total (Combined) 2.38
37.8 min/Goal (143 Goals in 60 matches)
62% Clean Sheets (37 times out of 60 matches)
48% Both Teams Scored (29 times out of 60 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 38%
Draw 30%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 42%
Over 3.5 20%
Over 4.5 12%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 10%
Under 1.5 30%
Under 2.5 57%
Under 3.5 80%
Under 4.5 88%
Serie A Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 25.13
Shots / Match (Home) 14.03
Shots / Match (Away) 11.1
Fouls Per Match 26.8
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.25
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.55
Offsides Per Match 3.11
Players Participated 589

Serie A Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Napoli 6 5 0 1 12 6 +6 15 WWWLW
2 Roma 6 5 0 1 7 2 +5 15 WLWWW
3 AC Milan 6 4 1 1 9 3 +6 13 WWWWD
4 Inter Milan 6 4 0 2 17 8 +9 12 LLWWW
5 Juventus 6 3 3 0 9 5 +4 12 WWDDD
6 Atalanta 6 2 4 0 11 5 +6 10 DWWDD
7 Bologna 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10 WLWDW
8 Como 6 2 3 1 7 5 +2 9 LDWDD
9 Sassuolo 6 3 0 3 8 8 0 9 LWLWW
10 Cremonese 6 2 3 1 7 8 -1 9 WDDDL
11 Cagliari 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8 LWWLD
12 Udinese 6 2 2 2 6 9 -3 8 WWLLD
13 Lazio 6 2 1 3 10 7 +3 7 WLLWD
14 Parma 6 1 2 3 3 7 -4 5 DLDWL
15 Lecce 6 1 2 3 5 10 -5 5 LLLDW
16 Torino 6 1 2 3 5 13 -8 5 DWLLD
17 Fiorentina 6 0 3 3 4 8 -4 3 DLLDL
18 Hellas Verona 6 0 3 3 2 9 -7 3 LDDLL
19 Genoa 6 0 2 4 3 9 -6 2 LDLLL
20 Pisa 6 0 2 4 3 10 -7 2 LLLDL

Serie A Results

Date Match
03/10/2025, 18:45 Hellas Verona 0 - 1 Sassuolo
04/10/2025, 13:00 Lazio 3 - 3 Torino
04/10/2025, 13:00 Parma 0 - 1 Lecce
04/10/2025, 16:00 Inter Milan 4 - 1 Cremonese
04/10/2025, 18:45 Atalanta 1 - 1 Como
05/10/2025, 10:30 Udinese 1 - 1 Cagliari
05/10/2025, 13:00 Fiorentina 1 - 2 Roma
05/10/2025, 13:00 Bologna 4 - 0 Pisa
05/10/2025, 16:00 Napoli 2 - 1 Genoa
05/10/2025, 18:45 Juventus 0 - 0 AC Milan

Serie A Fixtures

Date Match
18/10/2025, 13:00 Pisa - Hellas Verona
18/10/2025, 13:00 Lecce - Sassuolo
18/10/2025, 16:00 Torino - Napoli
18/10/2025, 18:45 Roma - Inter Milan
19/10/2025, 10:30 Como - Juventus
19/10/2025, 13:00 Genoa - Parma
19/10/2025, 13:00 Cagliari - Bologna
19/10/2025, 16:00 Atalanta - Lazio
19/10/2025, 18:45 AC Milan - Fiorentina
20/10/2025, 18:45 Cremonese - Udinese

What are Serie A Predictions?

Serie A predictions are expert forecasts of likely outcomes in Italy’s highest division, covering both single-match results and season-long markets. Serie A forecasts extend across a wide range of betting options, including outright title winners, Champions League qualifiers, relegation candidates, match outcomes, both teams to score, goal totals, and individual prizes such as the Capocannoniere, awarded to the league’s top scorer over 38 rounds. Our football predictions are built on analysis of statistical trends, recent form, and tactical patterns that characterise Serie A football.

Supporters, bettors, and analysts rely on Serie A predictions to interpret developments in one of Europe’s most historic and competitive leagues. With clubs ranging from global powerhouses like Inter and Juventus to ambitious sides battling for European qualification or survival, accurate forecasting requires close attention to squad depth, managerial strategies, injuries, and fixture congestion. At FootballPredictions.com, our analysts use a mix of advanced data models and years of Serie A insight to provide research-driven tips throughout the campaign.

How are Serie A Predictions and tips determined?

Our analysts create accurate Serie A predictions through a structured process that combines advanced statistical modelling, tactical analysis, and betting market review, tailored to the distinctive character of Italian football.

The six steps behind our Serie A forecasts are:

  • Setting the fixture context
  • Assessing form and underlying data
  • Weighing squad availability
  • Factoring in home/away trends and rivalries
  • Checking data against match footage
  • Comparing analysis with betting markets
  1. Setting the fixture context. The first step in shaping reliable Serie A predictions is to evaluate the match in its full context. We log details such as kick-off time, venue, travel demands, and weather, then weigh the stakes, whether it is a relegation battle like Lecce vs Verona or a title-defining clash such as Napoli against Inter. With Coppa Italia and European fixtures often packed into the calendar, fixture congestion plays a key role. Understanding this context ensures that Serie A predictions remain realistic.
  2. Assessing form and underlying data. Once the setting is established, the next step in building Serie A predictions is to measure momentum using advanced statistics rather than surface-level results. Serie A averages just over 2.5 goals per game, balancing Italy’s traditional defensive structure with modern attacking flair. Expected goals (xG), chance quality, and set-piece effectiveness are crucial indicators. Take Atalanta, for instance — a team capable of creating high xG totals even in narrow defeats, signalling underlying strength. By contrast, a side like Cremonese might pick up points while consistently being outshot, a pattern that typically proves unsustainable. Distinguishing luck from repeatable processes is central to credible Serie A forecasts.
  3. Weighing squad availability. The third step required to shape accurate Serie A predictions is linking player availability to tactical changes. One absence often forces major adjustments in Italy’s tactically rigid systems. For instance, Napoli without Kevin De Bruyne lose their primary creative source, while Inter without Lautaro Martínez see their attacking focal point compromised. New arrivals, such as Jonathan David at Juventus, reshape attacking dynamics entirely. Tracking injuries, suspensions, and transfer moves helps us anticipate how tactical systems shift from week to week.
  4. Factoring in home/away trends and rivalries. Another crucial step for making Serie A predictions is analysing how historic stadiums and rivalries create unique dynamics in this league. For example, Roma’s fortress-like Stadio Olimpico atmosphere often translates into better home returns, while Fiorentina’s Artemio Franchi sees a similar pattern. On the flip side, smaller clubs like Como or Cremonese frequently struggle away from home. Rivalries, such as the Derby della Madonnina (Inter vs AC Milan) or Derby d’Italia (Juventus vs Inter), regularly override form, producing unpredictable outcomes regardless of table position. Accounting for these factors ensures predictions mirror Serie A’s real competitive environment.
  5. Checking data against match footage. Once home/away trends and rivalries have been assessed, the next step for shaping Serie A predictions involves incorporating video analysis of key matches. Watching footage reveals whether defensive lapses are due to tactical flaws or isolated errors, and whether strikers’ goal rates are supported by smart positioning or opportunism. For example, Sassuolo’s defensive struggles often stem from structural issues in transitions rather than just bad luck. Validating numbers with visual structures ensures our predictions stay grounded in what actually happens on the pitch.
  6. Comparing analysis with betting markets. The final stage in producing Serie A predictions is comparing our analysis with bookmaker odds. Implied probabilities are matched against our projections across markets like match outcomes, BTTS, and Over/Under goals. Serie A odds often misprice streaks — a mid-table side like Bologna winning three games in a row might be overvalued despite average long-term xG data. Identifying these inefficiencies allows us to highlight value bets and transform insights into actionable Serie A tips.

When are Serie A Predictions released?

Serie A predictions for the weekend round are published every Monday at 1:00 PM London Time, while midweek tips are released the day after the final fixture has been completed, again at 13:00 London Time. This fixed schedule ensures that Serie A betting previews and advice are available well in advance of the next set of matches, giving readers time to review the data and markets carefully.

Our aim is to provide reliable and high-quality Serie A betting predictions, backed by thorough analysis and fact-checked information. By combining transparency with careful research, we strive to deliver insights that help readers go beyond simply following Italian football and instead make informed and confident betting decisions.

What are the most appealing Betting Markets to bet on for Serie A?

The most appealing betting markets for Serie A are Match Result, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and Over 2.5 Goals. These three options consistently align with the statistical profile of Italian football, offering more reliability than high-risk markets such as Correct Score. Common outcomes like 1–0 or 1–1 each occur in fewer than one in ten games, while BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals regularly land in around half of fixtures, making them more valuable to bettors following Italy’s top division.

The 3 most appealing betting markets for Serie A are outlined below.

  • Match Result (Home Win, Draw, Away Win). The Match Result market, or 1X2, is the foundation of Serie A betting. Over the last five seasons, home wins have been the most frequent outcome at 40–42%, with away wins at 29–35% and draws at 25–29%. These figures underline the continued importance of home advantage in Italy. For example, Roma’s fortress at the Stadio Olimpico remains difficult for visitors, while Bologna’s 2023/24 unbeaten home run highlighted how mid-table clubs tend to exploit familiar surroundings. On the other hand, away specialists like Inter Milan often buck the trend, consistently picking up three points on the road. This balance ensures Match Result remains a key market for punters in Serie A.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS). BTTS is another highly attractive market in Serie A, landing in 50–60% of games across the past five years, with the most recent seasons averaging around 52%. These stats reflect the league’s mix of potent forward lines and defensive vulnerabilities. Fixtures such as Atalanta vs Lazio or Fiorentina vs Torino frequently deliver on this market because of attack-minded philosophies that often leave space at the back. Even when top teams like Napoli or Juventus dominate, opponents frequently find a way onto the scoresheet, making BTTS a reliable choice for bettors tracking Italy’s top division.
  • Over 2.5 Goals. The Over/Under 2.5 Goals market provides another profitable angle in Serie A. Matches have produced an average of 2.56–3.06 goals per game across the last five years, with Over 2.5 hitting in 46–56% of fixtures. High-scoring encounters are common among free-flowing sides like Atalanta, who produced a 5–2 thriller against Torino in 2024/25, or Napoli, who averaged nearly three goals per game during their title-winning 2022/23 campaign. While defensive battles such as Verona vs Empoli sometimes stay under the threshold, fixtures involving attacking heavyweights often tip towards Over 2.5, making this one of the most appealing markets in Italian football.

The table below summarises the key Serie A outcomes from the past five seasons across the three main betting markets.

Season Match Result (Home Wins) Match Result (Draws) Match Result (Away Wins) BTTS (Yes) Over 2.5 Goals Avg. Goals / Match
2020–21 41% 25% 34% 60% 56% 3.06
2021–22 39% 26% 35% 56% 56% 2.87
2022–23 42% 26% 31% 50% 46% 2.57
2023–24 42% 29% 29% 52% 49% 2.61
2024–25 40% 28% 32% 52% 48% 2.56

What Is the Format of Serie A 2025/26 Season?

Serie A runs a standard double round-robin, with 20 clubs playing the other 19 twice (home and away), for 38 matches per team. The points system is three for a win, one for a draw, and none for a loss. Serie A league ranking is decided first by points, then (where relevant) by head-to-head points, head-to-head goal difference, overall goal difference, and goals scored.

In cases where two teams finish level for the title (1st) or for 17th place (the final safety spot), a single match play-off at a neutral venue decides the position (penalties if needed, no extra time).

At Serie A season’s end, the bottom three are relegated to Serie B and replaced by three promoted clubs (two automatic plus the Serie B play-off winner). European places are assigned to the top finishers according to UEFA’s allocations for the year (Champions League, Europa League, and Conference League berths), with one European slot also linked to the Coppa Italia winners.

This set-up keeps jeopardy alive across the table—from the Scudetto race (the league title) to European qualification and the survival fight.

What are the Start & End Dates for Serie A 2025/26?

The 2025/26 Serie A season runs from 23 August 2025 to 24 May 2026, spanning 38 matchdays across nine months. Matchday 1 kicked off over the weekend of 23–25 August, and the campaign concludes on the weekend of 23–24 May, with any required title or survival play-offs scheduled immediately thereafter.

Serie A fixtures are distributed primarily across Friday–Monday slots. The calendar is coordinated with FIFA international windows, the Coppa Italia, the Supercoppa Italiana, and European competition dates. A brief winter pause follows the pre-Christmas round, with league play resuming in early January to complete the ritorno (second half of fixtures).

How are Serie A Fixtures built up?

Serie A fixtures are built up according to key criteria including a balanced home and away distribution, an asymmetrical calendar introduced in 2021/22 where the second half of the season differs from the first, a minimum of eight matchdays between a pair’s two meetings, and restrictions preventing derbies from being scheduled on the opening, closing, or midweek rounds.

Beyond these rules, Serie A fixtures are arranged in a double round-robin format with each of the 20 clubs playing the others twice for a total of 38 matches. The schedule is produced by Lega Serie A, the governing body formed by the 20 top-flight clubs, using specialised software that also accounts for local policing needs, stadium availability, travel logistics, and TV broadcast slots. The full season calendar is typically unveiled in early summer, with the 2025/26 edition presented at a Lega Serie A launch event in Parma.

Once the master list is published, kick-off times and TV selections are adjusted throughout the season to reflect clubs’ progress in European competitions, Coppa Italia rounds, and operational requirements. While the old “English key” system has been abandoned, Lega Serie A’s algorithms still ensure fairness by preventing long consecutive home or away stretches and by limiting excessive travel.

Which are the Best Bookmakers for Serie A Betting?

The best bookmakers for Serie A betting are those that provide sharp odds, deep coverage of Italian football markets, and features like in-play betting, live streaming, and specialised promotions. With the Scudetto race, the Capocannoniere (top scorer award), and relegation battles all offering strong betting value, punters need trusted platforms with both breadth and reliability. Based on these criteria, our top choices for Serie A betting are Bet365, Unibet, Betzone, and 10bet.

More information about the 4 best bookmakers for Serie A betting is given below.

  • Bet365. Bet365 remains the benchmark for Serie A betting thanks to its vast market depth and early release of odds on outright and match-specific markets. From title winner and top-four finish to bookings, corners, and player props, Bet365 covers Serie A comprehensively. Live streaming of many matches, combined with Cash Out and Bet Builder, makes it especially strong for in-play betting. Derby clashes such as Juventus vs Inter and Roma vs Lazio are often backed by enhanced markets, giving punters added value. Competitive pricing and global reputation cement Bet365 as the go-to platform for betting on Serie A.
  • Unibet. Unibet offers one of the most feature-rich environments for Serie A betting, excelling in both pre-match and in-play markets. The site carries a wide range of betting options, from standard Match Result and Over/Under Goals to player-level stats like shots and disciplinary markets, which are particularly relevant in a league known for tactical intensity. Unibet’s live visualisation tools complement in-play betting, while odds boosts on marquee Serie A games provide additional value. With a smooth mobile app and regular football promotions, Unibet appeals to both casual and experienced punters following Italy’s top flight.
  • Betzone. Backed by decades of industry expertise, Betzone delivers a well-rounded experience for Serie A bettors. Licensed in the UK and offering a clean, intuitive interface, Betzone specialises in both core markets and niche props, making it easy to follow every weekend’s fixtures. The platform’s welcome bonus of up to £60 in free bets is appealing, and daily free bet specials often feature Serie A headliners such as AC Milan vs Napoli, making Betzone a solid option for Serie A betting.
  • 10bet. Launched in 2003, 10bet has grown into one of the most reliable operators for Italian football betting. Their Serie A coverage is extensive, with markets spanning title odds, relegation, goals, cards, and customisable Bet Builder options. Features like Acca Boosts and Cash Out enhance the betting experience, particularly on multi-leg wagers. While their welcome bonus (50% deposit boost up to £50) is smaller than some rivals, 10bet’s odds are consistently competitive on high-profile Serie A fixtures. With a strong mobile platform and a football-focused product, 10bet earns its place among the best betting sites for Italy’s top division.

Related Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues, including the ones below.

  • Serie B Predictions. Our Serie B coverage follows Italy’s promotion race and the form of clubs aiming to reach the top flight.
  • Premier League Predictions. Expert insights into England’s elite league featuring analysis of title contenders and key match data.
  • La Liga (Primera Division) Predictions. In-depth forecasts for Spain’s leading teams highlighting tactical trends and standout performances.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Our analysis of Germany’s top league focuses on goals, form, and the country’s most exciting clubs.
  • Champions League Predictions. Comprehensive forecasts for Europe’s biggest stage, tracking every phase from group rounds to the final.
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