Parma return to Ennio Tardini looking to stabilise their home form after a mixed spell, having collected just 0.80 points per game in front of home fans. Given Genoa's recent signs of improvement up front, we predict a 2-2 draw. Scoring has been an issue in front of their fans, with Parma averaging only 0.60 home goals, while failing to score in 60% of home fixtures. However, the Gialloblu remain competitive overall thanks to stronger away performances, winning 60% of their road matches. Defensively, they concede 1.40 goals per game at home, and their 1.88 xGA indicates vulnerability against teams who attack in numbers.
The Rossoblu, meanwhile, travel to Emilia-Romagna unbeaten in three and trending upward after a narrow win last time out. Daniele De Rossi's men have been more entertaining than efficient, with their matches averaging 3.10 total goals, while BTTS has landed in 70% of their games. Their defence remains their weak point, conceding 2.40 goals per away match and keeping 0% away clean sheets. Historically, this fixture has been evenly balanced, with both sides winning eight of the last 23 meetings. Genoa boss Daniele De Rossi unlikely to make changes to the team that defeated Cagliari 3-0.
With both teams showing defensive fragility and high BTTS percentages, an open contest is expected. Therefore, Both Teams to Score is our main betting tip for this Serie A matchup, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Over 3.5 goals as Genoa matches average 3.10 goals.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 18 January 2026 at 11:30.
What is our Parma vs Genoa prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Parma 2 - 2 Genoa
Parma vs Genoa Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Cutrone @ 225 Odds
- To be booked: Johan Vasquez @ -111 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferParma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdlw | 1.40 |
| Home | dllwl | 0.80 |
| Away | wlwdw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.88 | 1.38 |
Genoa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llddw | 1.20 |
| Home | wlldw | 1.40 |
| Away | dlwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.10 | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.94 | 1.63 | 2.24 |
Parma vs Genoa Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Parma (30%)
23 Matches
Genoa (35%)
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