Parma host Lazio in a Serie A clash where defensive reinforcements could prove key. Therefore, we predict a hard-fought 1-0 away win. The Gli Emiliani welcome back Mariano Troilo from suspension, while Abdoulaye Ndiaye’s fitness remains uncertain. The home side has struggled at the Stadio Ennio Tardini, securing just 0.4 points per game at home, scoring 0.6 goals and conceding 1.6 on average. Their expected goals of 1.17 indicates modest attacking output, and they have failed to score in 60% of home matches, highlighting offensive struggles.
The capital club head into the match without Gigot, Isaksen, and Rovella, but their squad depth helps offset these absences. The visitors have been solid at home, winning 67% of matches with an average of 2.33 goals scored and just 0.67 conceded per game. Away form has been inconsistent, though, with no wins in recent trips. Head-to-head history heavily favors Lazio, who have won 15 of the last 22 encounters.
Taking everything into account, we predict a tight game where Lazio’s superior quality should separate the two sides. Therefore, Away Win, Under 2.5 and Under 3.5 goals betting options are worth considering.
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 13 December 2025 at 17:00.
What is our Parma vs Lazio prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Parma 0 - 1 Lazio
Parma vs Lazio Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Valentin Castellanos @ 162 Odds
- To be booked: Nahuel Estevez @ 160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferParma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwllw | 0.90 |
| Home | ldldl | 0.40 |
| Away | dlwlw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.06 | 1.17 | 0.95 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.37 | 1.77 |
Lazio Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwd | 1.60 |
| Home | wwwwd | 2.33 |
| Away | ddll | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 2.33 | 0.75 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.67 | 0.00 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 100% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.48 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.37 |
Parma vs Lazio Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Parma (14%)
22 Matches
Lazio (68%)
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