Sassuolo and Parma meet in an Emilia-Romagna derby that often produces lively, chance-driven football. Therefore, a high-scoring 2-2 draw is on the cards at Mapei Stadium – Citta del Tricolor. The Neroverdi remain inconsistent, but they usually offer threat going forward, averaging 1.40 goals per game overall and hitting BTTS in 60% of their matches. Their defensive line, however, continues to struggle, conceding 1.30 goals on average and keeping just one clean sheet all season. At home they collect only 0.80 points per game, adding pressure going into this clash.
The Gli Emiliani are regarded as good travellers, earning 1.50 points per game on the road with a 50% away win rate. They have scored in every away match so far and show a strong 75% BTTS record away from home. Their xGA remains high at 1.63, which again suggests a match where both teams create — and concede — chances. Historically, Parma also lead the H2H with six wins from eleven meetings. No fresh injury concerns for Sassuolo after drawing with Bologna, while Parma come in clean after beating Fiorentina.
Strong expected goals profiles and open styles point to goals. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Over 2.5 goals, alongside BTTS and Over 3.5 goals.
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 3 January 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Sassuolo vs Parma prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sassuolo 2 - 2 Parma
Sassuolo vs Parma Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Andrea Pinamonti @ 130 Odds
- To be booked: Nahuel Estevez @ 200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferSassuolo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdld | 1.20 |
| Home | lldwl | 0.80 |
| Away | wwldd | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.27 | 1.40 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.32 | 1.60 |
Parma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwlw | 1.10 |
| Home | ldllw | 0.83 |
| Away | lwlw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.25 | 1.33 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.62 | 1.64 |
Sassuolo vs Parma Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sassuolo (27%)
11 Matches
Parma (55%)
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