Torino head into the last game of the year with renewed confidence after back-to-back wins, including a solid 1-0 victory over Sassuolo. Given their fine home record, we predict that they will defeat Cagliari 1-0 on Matchday 17. Saul Coco is on international duty, but Marco Baroni’s side generally cope well at home, where they average 1.67 points per game and score 1.5 goals per match. Defensively, they remain reliable in Turin, producing 33% clean sheets and allowing just 1.83 goals per home match—numbers slightly inflated by earlier-season slips. Their expected goals (1.38) and xGA (1.58) show that matches are often tight, but Torino usually edge the margins at home.
Cagliari travel with major concerns. Michael Folorunsho is a big doubt, and without him their midfield loses dynamism. Their away record is poor, with 0 wins, only 0.5 points per game, and 0.83 goals scored per match. Defensively the Sardinians concede 1.5 away goals, while xGA sits at 1.48, signaling consistent pressure faced on the road. BTTS lands often for Cagliari (70% overall), but mostly because they concede frequently.
With Torino in better form and stronger in front of home fans, Home Win should be considered, with additional value on Under 3.5 (71% H2H) and Under 2.5 goals.
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 27 December 2025 at 14:00.
What is our Torino vs Cagliari prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Torino 1 - 0 Cagliari
Torino vs Cagliari Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Duvan Zapata @ 110 Odds
- To be booked: Marko Rog @ 150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferTorino Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllww | 1.50 |
| Home | wdllw | 1.67 |
| Away | ddlw | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 3.33 | 1.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.83 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.38 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.58 | 1.35 |
Cagliari Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwld | 0.80 |
| Home | ldwd | 1.25 |
| Away | ldldl | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.75 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.07 | 1.36 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.33 | 1.48 |
Torino vs Cagliari Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Torino (38%)
24 Matches
Cagliari (33%)
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