Udinese vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tips | 27/12/2025

Udinese vs Lazio Prediction and Betting Tips | 27 December 2025

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

23 December 2025 • 08:55 UTC • 1 min read

Udinese vs Lazio Prediction and Betting Tips 27 December 2025

Lazio aim to return to winning ways following a goalless draw with Cremonese, but with Udinese being tough to beat at "Friuli", we predict a 1-1 draw. Udinese return home after a heavy 5-1 defeat to Fiorentina, and the absence of banned goalkeeper Maduka Okoye only increases their defensive vulnerability. Still, their home numbers are far better than their away form: 1.80 points per game, 1.2 goals scored, and 40% clean sheets. Udinese’s xG at home (1.53) suggests they usually create enough to trouble opponents, but conceding 1.4 goals per home match—and now without their first-choice keeper—raises clear concerns.

Lazio, on the other hand, travel to Udine in better overall form, unbeaten in four and collecting 1.80 points per game this season. Their defensive record is elite: only 0.4 goals conceded on average, with an impressive 70% clean-sheet rate. Even away from home, they keep 50% clean sheets, though their attack is inconsistent, scoring just 0.25 goals per away match. Matteo Guendouzi’s suspension affects ball progression but not their defensive structure. Lazio’s xGA (1.27) and away xGA (1.37) show they generally remain compact and disciplined.

As Lazio away games average just 1.75 goals combined, we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals. Additionally, Draw and Half-Time Draw bets seem appealing as close encounter is on the cards.

This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 27 December 2025 at 17:00.

What is our Udinese vs Lazio prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Udinese 1 - 1 Lazio

Udinese vs Lazio Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Goalscorer: Valentin Castellanos @ 200 Odds
To be booked: Sandi Lovric @ -105 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds

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Udinese Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wllwl	1.20
Home	wwllw	1.80
Away	llwll	0.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	60%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.90	2.60	3.20
Scored	1.00	1.20	0.80
Conceded	1.90	1.40	2.40
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
Clean Sheets	30%	40%	20%
Failed to Score	30%	20%	40%
Expected Goals	1.28	1.53	1.02
Expected Goals Against	1.46	1.07	1.84

Lazio Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwdwd	1.80
Home	wwwdd	2.33
Away	dllw	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	67%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	1.20	1.33	1.00
Scored	0.80	1.17	0.25
Conceded	0.40	0.17	0.75
BTTS	10%	17%	0%
Clean Sheets	70%	83%	50%
Failed to Score	40%	17%	75%
Expected Goals	1.37	1.43	1.28
Expected Goals Against	1.27	1.20	1.37