A spot in the Spanish Super Cup will be at stake when Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid meet in “El Madrileno” at King Abdullah Sports City. Los Rojiblancos head into the match following a 1-1 draw with Real Madrid and their five-game unbeaten run in all competitions is surely giving fans a reason for optimism. With Diego Simeone’s troops scoring 1.80 goals per game of late, Home Team Over 0.5 goals market seems interesting. Winger Nico Gonzalez and defender Clement Lenglet should be the only absentees in the home team.
Los Blancos, on the other hand, are high on confidence following a 5-1 crushing of Real Betis. Their expected goals of 2.08 are definitely a green flag, but Xabi Alonso’s troops will have to prove their worth on the field. Brahim Diaz is on international duty with Morocco, while key attacker Kylian Mbappe is unlikely to recover in time to face Atletico. You should bear in mind, though, that Real Madrid have been scoring 2.30 goals per game of late even without Mbappe in the starting XI.
Given the attacking potentials of the two local rivals, BTTS is our main betting pick for this semifinal clash, alongside Over 4.5 yellow cards and Vinicius Junior to Score or Assist.
This Spain Super Cup match will be played on Thursday 8 January 2026 at 19:00.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
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View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwd | 2.20 |
| Home | www | 3.00 |
| Away | lwwwd | 1.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 57% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.67 | 1.29 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.61 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.46 | 1.55 |
Real Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwww | 2.00 |
| Home | llww | 1.50 |
| Away | wdwww | 2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.08 | 2.06 | 2.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.45 |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (25%)
55 Matches
Real Madrid (42%)
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