Sparkles will be flying when Barcelona and Real Madrid face each other in the Spanish Super Cup final on Sunday. As Barca ace Lamine Yamal is back to the starting XI, we predict a 3-2 home win. The Catalan giants impressed in their semi-final clash, rolling over Athletic Club 5-0 without Yamal in the starting XI. The pacey winger is 100% fit for the title game and given Barca’s expected goals numbers (1.99), home win should definitely be considered.
Los Blancos, on the other hand, defeated Atletico Madrid 2-1 to set up a meeting with their bitter rivals in the final. Star striker Kylian Mbappe remains in the recovery room, which is probably the main reason why we are not going to bet on Xabi Alonso’s troops. Real Madrid, though, have been scoring 2.30 goals per game of late, meaning that a high-scoring affair is on the cards at King Abdullah Sports City. Towering defender Eder Militao is yet another absentee for the nominal visitors.
Barcelona are brimming with confidence following their demolition of Athletic Club and given Lamine Yamal’s effect, Home Win is our main betting tip for the Spanish Super Cup final. Additionally, Over 4.5 yellow cards and BTTS bets seem appealing.
This Spain Super Cup match will be played on Sunday 11 January 2026 at 19:00.
What is our Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 12.5
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View OfferBarcelona Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwww | 2.70 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.99 | 2.15 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.14 | 0.81 | 1.47 |
Real Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwww | 2.20 |
| Home | llww | 1.50 |
| Away | dwwww | 2.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.25 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.96 | 2.06 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.38 | 1.55 |
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Barcelona (53%)
57 Matches
Real Madrid (33%)
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