A place in the World Cup last 16 will be at stake when Brazil and Japan lock horns at NRG Stadium in what promises to be one of the most exciting last-32 ties. As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach, we predict a 1-1 draw.
Brazil have been improving with every match, defeating Scotland and Haiti before sharing the spoils with Morocco. Carlo Ancelotti's men continue to impress in attack, averaging 2.4 goals per game over their last ten matches while remaining unbeaten in the group stage. Neymar has recovered from injury and is expected to start on the bench, whereas Raphinha remains sidelined with a knee problem, allowing youngster Rayan to keep his place in the starting XI. The Selecao have won six of their last ten matches, with an average of 3.5 total goals per game highlighting their entertaining style.
Japan also enjoyed an unbeaten group campaign, drawing with Sweden and the Netherlands before producing a dominant 4-0 victory over Tunisia. Hajime Moriyasu's side have been extremely consistent of late, winning seven of their last ten matches while conceding only 0.7 goals per game. They have also kept six clean sheets during that spell, underlining their defensive solidity. The only notable absentee is winger Takefusa Kubo, who remains in the recovery room.
As both sides have averaged at least two goals scored per game in recent form, we are tempted to place our bets on Both Teams to Score, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Monday 29 June 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Brazil vs Japan prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan
Brazil vs Japan Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Where Can You Place Bets on Brazil vs Japan?
You can place your bets on Brazil vs Japan at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferBrazil Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdlwwwdww | 2.00 |
| Home | wdlwwwdw | 2.13 |
| Away | lw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 63% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.38 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.38 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.66 | 1.64 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.23 | 1.12 | 1.66 |
Japan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwwwwdwd | 2.40 |
| Home | dwwwwd | 2.33 |
| Away | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.83 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.05 | 0.96 | 1.18 |
Brazil vs Japan Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Brazil (75%)
4 Matches
Japan (25%)
Brazil vs Japan Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Senegal
Iraq
Norway
France
Uruguay
Spain
Cape Verde
Saudi Arabia
Egypt
Iran
New Zealand
Belgium
