Ecuador face a daunting task in their final Group E fixture as they take on a Germany side that has already booked its place in the knockout stages. As Germany have made a flying start to their World Cup campaign, we predict a 2-1 away win. La Tri still have slim hopes of reaching the next round, but only a victory is likely to be enough after a frustrating goalless draw with Curacao in round two. Ecuador dominated that match, registering 15 shots on target, yet somehow failed to find the breakthrough. Kevin Rodriguez and Nilson Angulo are both pushing for starting roles as coach Sebastian Beccacece looks to inject more attacking urgency into his side. Ecuador have been difficult to beat recently, drawing six of their last ten matches, while boasting a respectable expected goals figure of 1.61 per game.
Germany, meanwhile, continued their perfect run with a 2-1 victory over Ivory Coast. Julian Nagelsmann's men were forced to come from behind, with Deniz Undav scoring the winner after coming off the bench. The Stuttgart striker is now expected to return to the starting XI. Germany have been one of the standout teams of the tournament so far, winning ten consecutive matches in all competitions. Their attacking numbers are particularly impressive, averaging 3.4 goals scored per game and generating 2.32 expected goals on average. Although Nico Schlotterbeck is unavailable through injury, Antonio Rudiger is expected to slot seamlessly into the defense.
Germany have won eleven consecutive matches and remain one of the tournament favorites. As Ecuador are low on confidence following the aforementioned draw with Curacao, Away Win is our main betting tip for this round 3 matchup. Additionally, Undav to Score and Over 2.5 goals markets seem appealing (Germany's last ten matches have averaged 4.1 goals per game).
Germany to Score Over 1.5 Goals – They have scored 34 goals across their last ten outings.
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Thursday 25 June 2026 at 21:00.
What is our Ecuador vs Germany prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany
Ecuador vs Germany Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Deniz Undav @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Deniz Undav @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Moises Caicedo @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Germany -0.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Ecuador +2 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Germany to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Germany to Win/Germany to Win @ 140 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Germany - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferEcuador Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dddwddwwld | 1.50 |
| Home | wwwd | 2.50 |
| Away | dddddl | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 75% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.75 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.25 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.61 | 2.45 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.99 | 0.85 | 1.08 |
Germany Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwwwww | 3.00 |
| Home | wwwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.10 | 4.67 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 3.40 | 4.17 | 2.25 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.32 | 2.73 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.84 | 0.66 | 1.12 |
Ecuador vs Germany Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Ecuador (0%)
1 Matches
Germany (100%)
Ecuador vs Germany Past Results
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