Estonia will look to claim a major scalp in Group I when they take on Italy at A. Le Coq Arena on Saturday evening. The Estonians are on a three-game losing run in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers and, as a result, they have slim chances of securing a top-two finish. As the hosts are low on confidence ahead of Italy’s visit, home win should not be considered. A man to keep an eye on in the home team will be Levadia midfielder Mihkel Ainsalu, who has found his goal-scoring touch of late.
The Azzurri, on the other hand, are on a three-game winning run in Group I and given their desire to melt Norway’s advantage in the standings, anything but a routine away win would be a big surprise. Both Matteo Gabia and Bryan Cristante are back to the squad, while Napoli centre-back Alessandro Buongiorno has been ruled out with injury. Fiorentina striker Moise Kean is widely expected to lead the line for the visiting team.
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Saturday 11 October 2025 at 19:45.
What is our Estonia vs Italy prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Estonia 0 - 3 Italy
Estonia vs Italy Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-3
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
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View OfferEstonia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllld | 0.80 |
| Home | lld | 0.33 |
| Away | wl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 1.67 | 5.00 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.33 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.33 | 3.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.41 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 2.07 | 1.49 | 2.93 |
Italy Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwww | 2.00 |
| Home | ww | 3.00 |
| Away | dlw | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 5.00 | 3.50 | 6.00 |
| Scored | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.67 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 0.00 | 3.33 |
| BTTS | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 100% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 2.13 | 3.43 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.16 | 1.57 |
Estonia vs Italy Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Estonia (0%)
2 Matches
Italy (100%)
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