All eyes will be on Gillette Stadium when France and Morocco square off in a highly anticipated World Cup last-16 clash. As Morocco head into the match with a weakened squad, our prediction leans toward a 2-0 home win. Les Bleus needed a Kylian Mbappe penalty to edge Paraguay 1-0 in the previous round, but they once again showed why they are among the favourites to lift the trophy. Midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni is pushing for a place in the starting XI, while Didier Deschamps has a fully fit squad available. France have won nine of their last ten matches in all competitions, averaging 2.6 goals scored per game while posting an impressive 2.13 expected goals at the 2026 World Cup, underlining the quality of their attacking play.
Morocco, meanwhile, booked their place in the knockout stages with a routine 3-0 victory over Canada. However, the serious injury to Ismael Saibari is a major blow, with Soufiane Rahimi expected to replace him in attack. The Atlas Lions have been in excellent form themselves, remaining unbeaten in their last ten matches while conceding just 0.7 goals per game. Nevertheless, France defeated Morocco 2-0 at the 2022 World Cup and appear to have the quality needed to overcome the African side once again.
Les Bleus have won nine of their last ten matches and given Saibari's injury blow for Morocco, Home Win should be considered, alongside Mbappe to Score and Under 3.5 goals (Morocco are defensively well organised, and knockout matches between top teams are often closely contested).
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 21:00.
What is our France vs Morocco prediction?
Our prediction for this match: France 2 - 0 Morocco
France vs Morocco Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -111 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 333 Odds
- Asian Handicap: France -0.5 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Morocco +2 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: France to Win @ -550 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: France to Win/France to Win @ 137 Odds
- Clean Sheet: France - No @ -138 Odds
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View OfferFrance Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlwwwwww | 2.70 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.98 | 2.24 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.88 | 0.70 | 1.06 |
Morocco Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwddwwdw | 2.20 |
| Home | dwwwdw | 2.33 |
| Away | dwdw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.83 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.51 | 1.76 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.97 | 0.90 | 1.06 |
France vs Morocco Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
France (100%)
1 Matches
Morocco (0%)
France vs Morocco Past Results
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