MetLife Stadium will be the centre of attention when France and Sweden lock horns in an exciting last-32 encounter. As Les Bleus have looked like one of the strongest teams in the tournament so far, our prediction leans toward a 4-2 home win. France cruised through the group stage with a 100% record, recording comfortable wins over Senegal, Iraq, and Norway. Didier Deschamps is expected to keep faith with Roma midfielder Manu Kone after his impressive displays, while Kylian Mbappe remains the main attacking threat with four goals already at the tournament. Ousmane Dembele also heads into the knockout stages in high spirits after scoring a hat-trick in the 4-1 victory over Norway. France have won eight of their last ten matches, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 3.8 total goals per game, while their 2.06 expected goals (xG) underline their attacking dominance.
Sweden progressed from a difficult group, but defensive problems remain a major concern after conceding seven goals in three group-stage matches. Matters have become even tougher with key defender Isak Hien ruled out through injury. Sweden have managed only three wins in their last ten matches, conceding 2.1 goals per game, while an incredible 90% BTTS rate and no clean sheets during that spell highlight their defensive vulnerability. As always, all eyes will be on attacking duo Viktor Gyokeres - Alexander Isak, speaking of the away team.
As France look unstoppable at the showpiece tournament, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win. Additionally, Mbappe to Score and Over 2.5 goals total bets seem appealing (France look sharp up front, while Sweden's defensive record suggests goals are likely).
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 22:00.
What is our France vs Sweden prediction?
Our prediction for this match: France 4 - 2 Sweden
France vs Sweden Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 4-2 @ 4000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Over 4.5 Goals @ 333 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 137 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 300 Odds
- To be Booked: Herman Johansson @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: France -1.5 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: France -1 @ -125 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 9.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 14.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -700 Odds
- Draw No Bet: France to Win @ -1200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: France to Win/France to Win @ -125 Odds
- Clean Sheet: France - No @ -120 Odds
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View OfferFrance Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwwlwwww | 2.50 |
| Home | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Away | dwwww | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.06 | 2.27 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.80 | 0.54 | 1.06 |
Sweden Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldwwldwld | 1.20 |
| Home | ldwdw | 1.60 |
| Away | lwlld | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| BTTS | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.42 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.29 | 1.52 |
France vs Sweden Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
France (75%)
4 Matches
Sweden (25%)
