Gillette Stadium will host an intriguing World Cup last-32 clash between Germany and Paraguay. As Germany are eager to make amends for a shocking 2-1 loss to Ecuador, we predict a 2-1 home win. Germany failed to impress in their final group match, but with qualification already secured, the result had little significance. Julian Nagelsmann is expected to field his strongest XI, having no fresh injury concerns ahead of this encounter. Germany have been one of the tournament's most impressive sides, winning nine of their last ten matches and averaging an outstanding 3.1 goals per game. They have also produced 2.11 expected goals (xG) per match while failing to score in none of their last ten outings, underlining their remarkable attacking consistency.
Paraguay, on the other hand, reached the knockout stages thanks to their solid defence, but they face a huge challenge against one of the tournament favourites. Midfielder Diego Gomez misses out through suspension, while centre-back Omar Alderete is a major doubt after picking up a knock in the 0-0 draw with Australia. Paraguay have won only four of their last ten matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Their away form has been inconsistent, with just 38% wins and 1.13 goals scored on average.
Germany possess superior quality across the pitch and should respond strongly after their group-stage defeat. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip for this matchup, alongside Germany Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total.
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Monday 29 June 2026 at 21:30.
What is our Germany vs Paraguay prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay
Germany vs Paraguay Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 105 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Deniz Undav @ -105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Deniz Undav @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Gustavo Gomez @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Paraguay +1.5 @ -130 Odds
- European Handicap: Paraguay +2 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -600 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Germany to Win @ -900 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Germany to Win/Germany to Win @ -105 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Germany - No @ -120 Odds
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View OfferGermany Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwwwwl | 2.70 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwwl | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 3.10 | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.11 | 2.59 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.92 | 0.75 | 1.08 |
Paraguay Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwwlwlwd | 1.40 |
| Home | wd | 2.00 |
| Away | dllwwllw | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 38% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.00 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.00 | 1.63 |
| BTTS | 50% | 0% | 63% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 100% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 50% | 13% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.85 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 0.78 | 1.59 |
Germany vs Paraguay Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Germany (100%)
1 Matches
Paraguay (0%)
Germany vs Paraguay Past Results
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