Japan and Sweden meet in a fascinating Group F showdown with top spot potentially on the line. The Samurai Blue head into the final group game full of confidence after crushing Tunisia 4-0, a result that underlined both their attacking quality and defensive discipline. Japan have now won seven of their last ten matches and boast one of the strongest defensive records among the teams in the competition, conceding just 0.8 goals per game on average. Hajime Moriyasu will once again be without influential winger Takefusa Kubo due to injury, but there are no new selection concerns. After scoring six goals in their opening two World Cup matches, Japan will fancy their chances of finishing the group stage with another positive result.
Sweden, meanwhile, have been having their ups and downs at the 2026 World Cup finals so far. After rolling over Tunisia 5-1 in their opener, the Scandinavians were brought crashing back to earth by a heavy 5-1 defeat to the Netherlands. Defensive frailties were exposed throughout that encounter, and Sweden now arrive under pressure to produce a response. Anthony Elanga is pushing for a starting berth after making a strong impact against the Dutch, while the dangerous attacking duo of Viktor Gyokeres and Alexander Isak remain Sweden's biggest threats. However, the fact that Sweden have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last ten matches is a major concern heading into a clash with an in-form Japanese side.
Japan look more balanced at both ends of the pitch and should be able to exploit Sweden's defensive weaknesses. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (Sweden's matches are averaging 3.9 goals, while both teams have shown plenty of attacking quality).
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Friday 26 June 2026 at 00:00.
What is our Japan vs Sweden prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden
Japan vs Sweden Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ayase Ueda @ 160 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ayase Ueda @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Isak Hien @ 275 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Japan 0 @ -250 Odds
- European Handicap: Sweden +2 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Japan to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Japan to Win/Japan to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Japan - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferJapan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwwwwwdw | 2.30 |
| Home | dwwww | 2.60 |
| Away | lwwdw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.54 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.13 | 0.86 | 1.40 |
Sweden Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldwwldwl | 1.10 |
| Home | lldwdw | 1.33 |
| Away | lwll | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.33 | 4.75 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.50 | 3.25 |
| BTTS | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.31 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.42 | 1.66 |
Japan vs Sweden Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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