Expect a thrilling atmosphere at Estadio Banorte (Azteca) in Mexico City when Mexico and Ecuador square off in the World Cup last 32. As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. With the home crowd firmly behind them, El Tri will be eager to extend their perfect run. Mexico enjoyed a perfect group stage, winning all three matches without conceding a single goal. Javier Aguirre has no fresh injury concerns, while experienced striker Raul Jimenez is expected to return to the starting XI after being rested in the 3-0 victory over the Czech Republic. The Mexicans have won eight of their last ten matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored while conceding just 0.2 goals per game.
Ecuador, on the other hand, stunned Germany with a memorable 2-1 victory to secure their place in the knockout stages. That result should provide a huge confidence boost, while Nilson Angulo and Piero Hincapie have both recovered from minor injuries and are expected to feature. La Tri have lost only one of their last ten matches, conceding just 0.6 goals per game, but their away form has been less convincing, with no wins in their last five away outings.
Both teams are defensively solid, with Ecuador conceding just 0.6 goals per game and Mexico only 0.2. Therefore, Under 2.5 goals seems like the best betting option for this matchup, alongside Draw and Over 2.5 yellow cards (tense match with a number of hard tackles).
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 02:00.
What is our Mexico vs Ecuador prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador
Mexico vs Ecuador Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
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View OfferMexico Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwddwwwwww | 2.60 |
| Home | wddwwwww | 2.50 |
| Away | ww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 75% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| BTTS | 20% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 80% | 75% | 100% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 13% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.53 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.85 | 0.76 | 1.21 |
Ecuador Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwddwwldw | 1.70 |
| Home | wwwdw | 2.60 |
| Away | ddddl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 2.13 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.97 | 0.94 | 1.00 |
Mexico vs Ecuador Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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