All eyes will be on AT&T Stadium when Portugal and Spain square off in a mouth-watering World Cup last-16 clash. As Spain keep on improving their game at the showpiece tournament, we predict a 1-0 away win. Portugal edged past Croatia 2-1 in the last 32, although Roberto Martinez's men were far from their best. Cristiano Ronaldo is expected to keep his place up front despite Goncalo Ramos coming off the bench to score the winner. There are no fresh injury concerns, giving Martinez a full squad to choose from. Portugal have won six of their last ten matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored while conceding only 0.7 per game. A Selecao also produce 1.91 expected goals (xG) per match, but will need a sharper display against Spain's disciplined defence.
Spain, on the other hand, rolled over Austria (3-0), with Lamine Yamal delivering another outstanding performance despite failing to get on the scoresheet. Luis de la Fuente is expected to stick with the same starting XI after another commanding display. Spain have conceded just 0.4 goals per game across their last ten matches, keeping seven clean sheets, while generating an impressive 2.08 xG per outing. Their ability to dominate possession and limit opponents to very few chances has made them one of the tournament favourites.
As La Roja have looked more convincing throughout the tournament than Portugal, Away Win is our main betting option for this round 16 derby. Additionally, Spain to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals bets are worth considering as five of the last seven meetings between these sides have ended in draws, with generally few goals.
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Monday 6 July 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Portugal vs Spain prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain
Portugal vs Spain Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
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View OfferPortugal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdwwwdwdw | 2.10 |
| Home | wwwdww | 2.67 |
| Away | ldwd | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 4.33 | 1.00 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 3.50 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 83% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.91 | 2.04 | 1.70 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.12 | 0.93 | 1.41 |
Spain Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwddwdwww | 2.20 |
| Home | dwdddww | 1.86 |
| Away | www | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 43% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.29 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 1.86 | 2.67 |
| Conceded | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| BTTS | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 71% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.08 | 2.47 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.66 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
Portugal vs Spain Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Portugal (0%)
7 Matches
Spain (29%)
Portugal vs Spain Past Results
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