A place in the 2026 World Cup semis will be at stake when Spain and Belgium lock horns in what promises to be an exciting quarter-final. La Roja booked their place in the last eight with a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Portugal, as Mikel Merino came off the bench to score a dramatic late winner. The Arsenal midfielder is now expected to replace Dani Olmo in the starting XI after an influential cameo, while Spain boss Luis de la Fuente has no fresh injury concerns. Spain have been outstanding defensively throughout the tournament, yet to concede a single goal, while winning six of their last ten matches in all competitions and keeping seven clean sheets. Their expected goals average of 2.07 also highlights the number of quality chances they continue to create.
Belgium, meanwhile, sent out a strong statement by rolling over tournament hosts USA 4-1 in the last 16. Hans Vanaken is expected to replace Amadou Onana in midfield, while the Red Devils will once again look to their prolific attack after averaging 3.3 goals per game across their last ten matches. However, facing the tournament's meanest defence represents a completely different challenge. Spain also defeated Belgium in their only previous World Cup meeting, keeping a clean sheet in the process.
As La Roja have been one of the tournament's most complete sides and are have yet to concede a goal, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Spain to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals.
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Friday 10 July 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Spain vs Belgium prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium
Spain vs Belgium Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
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View OfferSpain Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwddwdwwww | 2.20 |
| Home | dwdddww | 1.86 |
| Away | www | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 43% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.29 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.86 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| BTTS | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 71% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.07 | 2.47 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.68 | 0.60 | 0.88 |
Belgium Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwwddwww | 2.40 |
| Home | wwddw | 2.20 |
| Away | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.10 | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 3.30 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.21 | 2.59 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.02 | 1.04 | 0.99 |
Spain vs Belgium Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Spain (100%)
1 Matches
Belgium (0%)
Spain vs Belgium Past Results
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