Turkey and the USA meet in the final round of Group D fixtures with little pressure on either side, albeit for very different reasons. Vincenzo Montella's side dominated large spells of both defeats to Australia and Paraguay, registering an incredible 62 goal attempts across those two matches, yet failed to score a single goal. As a result, they failed to book their spot in the 2026 World Cup knockout stages. The Turks have often played attractive attacking football under Montella, averaging 2.2 goals per game over their last ten matches, and they will be determined to end their campaign on a positive note. Several changes are expected, with Yilmaz, Can Uzun, Arda Gul and Orkun Kokcu all pushing for starting berths.
The USA, meanwhile, have enjoyed a perfect group-stage campaign so far. Victories over Paraguay and Australia secured qualification with a game to spare, allowing coach Mauricio Pochettino the luxury of resting key players. Rotation is expected, with Berhalter, Joe Scally, Auston Trusty, Haji Wright and Gio Reyna all hoping to feature from the start. Despite their impressive results, the World Cup hosts have been struggling defensively at times, keeping just one clean sheet in their last ten matches while seeing both teams score in 80% of those games.
As Turkey are low on confidence after suffering elimination, we are tempted to bet on Away Win, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (Turkey creating a lot of goal-scoring chances, while USA scoring goals for fun).
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Friday 26 June 2026 at 03:00.
What is our Turkey vs USA prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Turkey 1 - 2 USA
Turkey vs USA Betting Tips
- European Handicap: USA +1 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Where Can You Place Bets on Turkey vs USA?
You can place your bets on Turkey vs USA at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferTurkey Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdwwwwll | 2.20 |
| Home | wwwwl | 2.40 |
| Away | wdwwl | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.02 | 2.12 | 1.91 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.07 | 0.81 | 1.32 |
USA Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwllwlww | 1.90 |
| Home | dwwwllwlww | 1.90 |
| Away | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.80 | 0.00 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.04 | 1.14 | 0.00 |
Turkey vs USA Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Turkey (100%)
1 Matches
USA (0%)
Turkey vs USA Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Argentina
Austria
France
Iraq
Uruguay
Cape Verde
Norway
Senegal
Jordan
Algeria
Portugal
Uzbekistan
