A place in the World Cup quarter-finals will be on the line when the USA and Belgium lock horns in what promises to be one of the most entertaining last-16 ties. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. USA defeated Bosnia 2-0 in the last 32 despite losing top scorer Folarin Balogun to a red card, with the striker now suspended. Ricardo Pepi is expected to spearhead the attack, while Christian Pulisic will carry even greater creative responsibility. Defender Mark McKenzie remains sidelined but was unlikely to feature. Mauricio Pochettino's side have won six of their last ten matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and producing 1.52 expected goals (xG) per game. However, they have conceded 1.7 goals per match, suggesting there is still room for improvement defensively.
Belgium, meanwhile, needed extra time to overcome Senegal, scoring twice late in normal time before Youri Tielemans converted the winning penalty. Romelu Lukaku is expected to return to the starting XI, while Rudi Garcia has a fully fit squad available. The Red Devils have won six of their last ten matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.30 xG per game. They have also conceded only 0.8 goals per match, highlighting their balance at both ends of the pitch. Belgium have won both previous meetings with the USA, which is surely fuelling fans with optimism ahead of the last 16 clash.
USA have enough attacking quality through Pulisic, while Belgium rarely struggle in front of goal. Therefore, Both Teams to Score is our main betting tip for this World Cup encounter, alongside Pulisic to Score or Assist and Belgium or Draw (Balogun absence big blow for the Yanks).
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Tuesday 7 July 2026 at 01:00.
What is our USA vs Belgium prediction?
Our prediction for this match: USA 1 - 1 Belgium
USA vs Belgium Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
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View OfferUSA Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllwlwwlw | 1.80 |
| Home | wwllwlwww | 2.00 |
| Away | l | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 3.89 | 5.00 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.56 | 3.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 22% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 11% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.52 | 1.48 | 1.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.16 | 1.12 |
Belgium Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwdwwddww | 2.20 |
| Home | wwddw | 2.20 |
| Away | dwdww | 2.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.30 | 2.59 | 2.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.00 |
USA vs Belgium Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
USA (0%)
2 Matches
Belgium (100%)
USA vs Belgium Past Results
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