Expect a thrilling atmosphere at SoFi Stadium when the USA and Paraguay lock horns in their opening Group D match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Given USA's home support and promising displays in warm-up games, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Yanks enter the tournament after a mixed run of results but remain a dangerous side, particularly in attack. The Stars and Stripes have won five of their last ten matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. However, defensive issues remain a concern, with the Americans conceding 1.7 goals per match and keeping just one clean sheet in their last ten outings. Weston McKennie, Christian Pulisic, and Antonee Robinson are expected to play key roles for Mauricio Pochettino's side.
Paraguay return to the World Cup stage for the first time in 16 years and will be eager to make an immediate impact. The South Americans have won four of their last ten matches and have built their success on defensive discipline, conceding only 1.0 goal per game while keeping four clean sheets. A major boost for La Albirroja is the return of Miguel Almiron, who has recovered from a knee injury and is expected to feature. Paraguay's attack has been less prolific, averaging 1.0 goal per game, but their compact style could frustrate the hosts.
As Paraguay's home advantage and greater attacking potential could prove decisive in a closely contested opener, Home Win should be considered. Additionally, Both Teams to Score (USA have seen BTTS land in 70% of their last ten matches, while Paraguay possess enough quality to contribute) and Christian Pulisic to Score or Assist bets seem appealing.
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 02:00.
What is our USA vs Paraguay prediction?
Our prediction for this match: USA 2 - 1 Paraguay
USA vs Paraguay Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 105 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 137 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Folarin Balogun @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Folarin Balogun @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Gustavo Gomez @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: USA 0 @ -223 Odds
- European Handicap: USA +1 @ -700 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: USA to Win @ -225 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: USA to Win/USA to Win @ 225 Odds
- Clean Sheet: USA - No @ -175 Odds
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View OfferUSA Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdwwwllw | 1.60 |
| Home | llwdwwwllw | 1.60 |
| Away | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.50 | 0.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 70% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.46 | 0.00 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 1.27 | 0.00 |
Paraguay Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwdllwwl | 1.40 |
| Home | wd | 2.00 |
| Away | lwdllwwl | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 38% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 40% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 100% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.04 | 1.09 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.14 | 0.60 | 1.27 |
USA vs Paraguay Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
USA (100%)
2 Matches
Paraguay (0%)
USA vs Paraguay Past Results
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