Morocco are brimming with confidence following a 2-0 win over Comoros and given their recent positive H2H record against Mali, we predict that they will defeat les Aigles 1-0 at Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah in Group A derby. The 2025 AFCON hosts totally deserved a win against Comoros with 16 goals attempts (7 on target). To make things even better for the Atlas Lions, PSG ace Achraf Hakimi should recover in time to face Mali in round 2. Captain Romain Saiss, though, is expected to miss out with injury.
Les Aigles, on the other hand, failed to turn their dominance into victory in a 1-1 draw with Zambia. Mali will have a mountain to climb against Morocco as they have failed to find the net in the previous three meetings with the African giants. However, their overall expected goal against of 0.71 is giving fans a reason for optimism ahead of Friday’s clash. Yves Bissouma (Tottenham) injury definitely goes in favour of our betting prediction.
With Morocco with three of the last four meetings with Mali, Home Win should be considered. Additionally, Under 3.5 goals and Morocco to Win to Nil bets seem appealing as Mali struggle offensively against the Atlas Lions.
This Africa Cup of Nations 2025 match will be played on Friday 26 December 2025 at 20:00.
What is our Morocco vs Mali prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Morocco 1 - 0 Mali
Morocco vs Mali Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Ayoub El Kaabi @ 130 Odds
- To be booked: Mohamed Chibi @ -111 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMorocco Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwww | 2.80 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | dw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.13 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 0.30 | 0.13 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 20% | 13% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 80% | 88% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.71 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.74 | 0.67 | 1.02 |
Mali Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdd | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwd | 2.50 |
| Away | dllwd | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 4.00 | 1.17 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 3.50 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| BTTS | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.51 | 1.42 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.71 | 0.55 | 0.85 |
Morocco vs Mali Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Morocco (67%)
3 Matches
Mali (0%)
