Alverca host Estrela in what promises to be a tricky clash as both sides look to climb the Liga Portugal 2 table. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched, we predict a 1-1 draw. Custodio Castro's troops have 1.30 points per game overall, performing strongly at home with 2.00 PPG, though they’ve struggled away (0.60 PPG). Their attack is modest, scoring 0.80 goals per game, but their defensive record is slightly better at home, conceding only 1.00 goal per match. Key absences include Diarra, Leo Chu, and Mendes, which could limit their squad depth. Their expected goals stats (1.11 xG overall, 1.37 xG at home) suggest they create chances but are not highly efficient in front of goal.
Estrela arrive with 1.20 PPG and a high-scoring style, averaging 1.60 goals per game, but with 2.60 conceded per match, their defence is vulnerable. Midfielder Kevin Jansson is a doubt, potentially weakening their creativity. Their xG of 1.07 overall highlights underperformance in scoring despite high chances created. There are no other fresh injury worries in the visiting team.
As both teams concede more than they score efficiently, we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Draw and Half-Time Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 31 January 2026 at 20:30.
What is our Alverca vs Estrela prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Alverca 1 - 1 Estrela
Alverca vs Estrela Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Felipe Lima @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Felipe Lima @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Alverca +0.5 @ -455 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAlverca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwl | 1.30 |
| Home | dwlww | 2.00 |
| Away | lwlll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.11 | 1.37 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.62 | 1.48 | 1.76 |
Estrela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdll | 1.20 |
| Home | dwddl | 1.20 |
| Away | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.20 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 2.60 | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.07 | 1.38 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.72 | 1.51 | 1.93 |
Alverca vs Estrela Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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