Gent look to build on their recent improvement after taking seven points from their last three league games, though they will again be without Samoise and Delorge-Knieper. Anyhow, we predict a 2-0 home win as Leuven suit them. Gent's home form has stabilised, winning two of their last three at the Ghelamco Arena and averaging 1.75 goals per home match. Their attacking metrics remain encouraging, with an overall xG of 1.45 and 3.25 total goals per home game, though defensive vulnerabilities persist (1.50 goals conceded per home match).
Leuven do not seem to be at their sharpest. The visitors are winless in five and missing suspended forward Thibaud Verlinden, which definitely supports our betting angle. Their attacking struggles are clear: just 0.70 goals scored per game overall and failing to score in 40% of matches. Even away from home—where they are slightly more competitive—their expected goals sits at only 1.60, and they average just 1.25 total goals per away fixture. Leuven’s defensive numbers are slightly better on the road, but they lack the offensive threat to consistently trouble stronger sides.
With Gent winning seven of the last 15 H2H clashes and Leuven’s form dipping, the hosts have the edge. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside Gent to Score First and Under 3.5 goals (Leuven’s attack limited; Gent not always free-scoring).
This Belgian Pro League match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Gent vs Leuven prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Gent 2 - 0 Leuven
Gent vs Leuven Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Hyun-seok Hong @ 160 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Hyun-seok Hong @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Gent 0 @ -223 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Gent to Win @ -225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Gent vs Leuven?
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View OfferGent Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwd | 1.40 |
| Home | llww | 1.50 |
| Away | dllwd | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.73 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.68 | 1.52 | 1.79 |
Leuven Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldldd | 0.70 |
| Home | ldldd | 0.50 |
| Away | lwdl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 2.33 | 1.25 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.66 | 1.70 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.31 | 1.90 |
Gent vs Leuven Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Gent (47%)
15 Matches
Leuven (27%)
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