Standard Liege return home looking to rebound from a heavy 3-0 defeat at Club Brugge, but they face the league leaders at a difficult moment. Given Royale Union SG's splendid form, we predict a 1-0 away win. Defender Steeven Assengue is doubtful for the Red Devils, adding to concerns for a side that has lost three of their last four matches. Standard’s home form remains poor, with just 0.75 points per game and only 0.75 goals scored on average. Defensive numbers are also shaky, conceding 1.75 goals per home match and keeping just 25% clean sheets. Their xGA of 1.80 suggests further vulnerability against top opposition.
Union Saint-Gilloise, meanwhile, travel to Liege full of confidence. The reigning champions are unbeaten in five (DWWDW) and have been flawless at home this season, though their away form is more modest with 1.20 points per game. Still, their defensive level is elite: only 0.6 goals conceded per away match, and 60% clean sheets on the road. USG also dominate the H2H, winning 7 of the last 9 meetings. With no fresh injury concerns, they look well-placed to control proceedings.
Given Royale Union SG's far stronger form and dominant H2H, Away Win is our main betting pick for this Jupiler League matchup, alongside Under 2.5 goals (USG concede 0.4 per game overall) and St Gilloise to Win to Nil.
This Belgian Pro League match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 19:45.
What is our St Liege vs St Gilloise prediction?
Our prediction for this match: St Liege 0 - 1 St Gilloise
St Liege vs St Gilloise Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
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View OfferSt Liege Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Home | lllw | 0.75 |
| Away | wwwll | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.50 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.75 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.10 | 1.05 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.69 |
St Gilloise Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwdw | 2.10 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | dwldd | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.47 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.12 | 0.92 | 1.32 |
St Liege vs St Gilloise Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
St Liege (11%)
9 Matches
St Gilloise (78%)
