St. Truiden head into this fixture full of confidence after destroying Westerlo 4-0 at the weekend. As Waregem have been having their ups and downs of late, we predict a 2-1 home win. Both Musliu and Vanwesemael remain doubtful for the hosts, which slightly weakens their defensive options. Even so, their overall momentum is strong: they average 2.20 points per game, with an impressive 2.25 PPG at home. Offensively, the Canaries have been consistent, scoring 1.25 goals per home match, while their overall scoring average sits at 1.90 per game. Defensively, they allow just 1.00 goal per home match and have kept 50% clean sheets at home, backed by a stable xGA of 1.63.
Waregem head into the match with mixed form, though their confidence grew after a narrow 1-0 win over Dender, with Stavros Gavriel pushing strongly for a starting spot following his match-winning goal. Their overall form remains shaky at 0.90 points per game, and notably, they struggle away from home with just 0.20 PPG and 0% away wins. Waregem concede 2.20 goals per away match, while scoring only 1.20, highlighting a major imbalance.
Historically, Waregem have dominated the matchup, winning 10 of the last 19 meetings, though recent form heavily favours St. Truiden. Given St. Truiden's strong home form and Waregem’s away struggles, the hosts should take all three points. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside St. Truiden Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals total.
This Belgian Pro League match will be played on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 18:15.
What is our St Truiden vs Waregem prediction?
Our prediction for this match: St Truiden 2 - 1 Waregem
St Truiden vs Waregem Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
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View OfferSt Truiden Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlw | 2.20 |
| Home | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Away | dlwww | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.25 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 1.25 | 2.33 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.55 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.63 | 1.48 |
Waregem Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwllw | 0.90 |
| Home | ddwlw | 1.60 |
| Away | ldlll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.58 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.10 | 1.43 |
St Truiden vs Waregem Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
St Truiden (32%)
19 Matches
Waregem (53%)
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