Borussia Dortmund head into Sunday's David-vs-Goliath clash full of confidence after a commanding 3-0 win at Union Berlin, a result that strengthened their push at the top end of the table. As Heidenheim are low on confidence following a 3-0 loss to Leipzig, a routine 4-1 home win is on the cards. Niko Kovac's men have been particularly strong at home, averaging 2.17 points per game and scoring 2.00 goals per match at Signal Iduna Park. Their defensive metrics at home are even more impressive, conceding just 0.83 goals per game with 50% clean sheets and an xGA of only 0.90, reflecting greater stability this season. The return of Daniel Svensson from a Champions League ban further boosts their midfield balance.
Heidenheim, by contrast, remain deep in relegation trouble. Their form (LDLDL) reflects ongoing struggles, and the absence of key midfielder Benedikt Gimber after his red card in the 3-0 loss to Leipzig is a major blow. Their defensive record is concerning: they concede 2.50 goals per game overall and have yet to keep a clean sheet this season. With an xGA of 1.78, they are consistently under pressure. Historically, they’ve also failed to beat Dortmund in any of their five meetings.
Considering Borussia's excellent home form and Heidenheim’s shaky defence, Home Win seems like a sure bet. Additionally, Over 3.5 goals and Borussia Dortmund -1.5 bets boast big value.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 1 February 2026 at 16:30.
What is our Borussia Dortmund vs Heidenheim prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Borussia Dortmund 4 - 1 Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund vs Heidenheim Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy @ -150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy @ 300 Odds
- To be booked: Marvin Pieringer @ 260 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Borussia Dortmund -1.5 @ -134 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 9.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 12.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferBorussia Dortmund Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwlw | 1.80 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.17 |
| Away | ddlw | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.83 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.60 | 1.77 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.65 |
Heidenheim Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldldl | 0.80 |
| Home | lwldl | 0.80 |
| Away | lwlld | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.50 | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.10 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.78 | 1.95 | 1.60 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Heidenheim Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Borussia Dortmund (60%)
5 Matches
Heidenheim (0%)
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