Crystal Palace face Fiorentina in a finely balanced Europa League quarter-final showdown, with both sides bringing solid form into the encounter. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched, our prediction leans toward 1-1 draw. The Eagles will be without Jørgen Strand Larsen due to suspension, meaning Jean-Philippe Mateta is expected to lead the attack. The capital club have been defensively strong, conceding just 0.8 goals per match and keeping clean sheets in 50% of their last 10 games, with that figure rising to 80% at home. However, their attack has been less consistent at Selhurst Park, averaging just 1.0 goal per game.
Fiorentina, on the other hand, travel to London with several injury concerns, including Dodo, Lamptey, Mandragora, and Solomon, but key striker Moise Kean is fit. The Italian side have been impressive, earning 2.00 points per game and excelling away from home with a 2.40 points average and 2.0 goals scored per match. Their balanced approach, combined with strong attacking output, makes them a serious threat despite the absentees.
Given Palace’s strong defensive record, especially at home, we predict a tight game with Under 2.5 goals our main betting tip, alongside Over 3.5 yellow Cards and Half-Time Draw.
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Fiorentina
Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 650 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jean-Philippe Mateta @ -105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Jean-Philippe Mateta @ 300 Odds
- To be Booked: Marin Pongracic @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Fiorentina +1.5 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: Fiorentina +2 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -900 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Crystal Palace to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Crystal Palace - No @ -138 Odds
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View OfferCrystal Palace Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwwlwddw | 1.80 |
| Home | lwwdd | 1.60 |
| Away | wdlww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.52 | 1.55 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.04 | 0.86 | 1.23 |
Fiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlldwwwdw | 2.00 |
| Home | wldwd | 1.60 |
| Away | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.79 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.16 | 1.53 |
Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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