Borussia Dortmund return to Signal-Iduna-Park after a dramatic 3-3 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt. Given Werder Bremen's difficulties on the road, we predict a 3-1 home win. Niko Kovac has almost a full squad available, with Aaron Anselmino the only confirmed absentee. Dortmund’s numbers remain strong at home, where they average 2.17 goals scored and concede just 1.00 per match, helping them collect 1.83 PPG in front of home fans. Their expected goals of 1.77 at home also reflects sustained attacking pressure.
Werder Bremen, meanwhile, head into their first game of 2026 without Agu, Boniface, Weiser and Wober, four important players who significantly impact both defensive stability and transitional play. Their away form has been poor, earning only 0.67 PPG on the road and scoring just 0.83 goals per away game. Defensively, Werder allow 1.99 xGA per away match, showing how vulnerable they are under sustained pressure.
The H2H matchup strongly favours goals: 87% Over 1.5, 63% BTTS, and Dortmund winning 61% of the last 38 meetings. Given Borussia Dortmund's superior home numbers and Werder’s injury issues, Home Win seems like a sure bet. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and BTTS markets are worth considering as die Werderaner concede often but still find attacking moments.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Tuesday 13 January 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Borussia Dortmund 3 - 1 Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy @ -125 Odds
- To be booked: Yukinari Sugawara @ 150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferBorussia Dortmund Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddwd | 1.70 |
| Home | wlwdw | 1.83 |
| Away | dwdd | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.17 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.17 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.63 | 1.77 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 1.04 | 1.54 |
Werder Bremen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlldd | 1.10 |
| Home | wwdl | 1.75 |
| Away | dlldd | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.50 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.27 | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.81 | 1.54 | 1.99 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Borussia Dortmund (61%)
38 Matches
Werder Bremen (18%)
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