Freiburg vs Hamburg Prediction & Betting Tips | 10/01/2026

Freiburg vs Hamburg Prediction and Betting Tips | 10 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

6 January 2026 • 13:19 UTC • 1 min read

Freiburg vs Hamburg Prediction and Betting Tips 10 January 2026

Freiburg host Hamburg in a clash between two sides showing contrasting recent form. As Julian Schuster's men are a real force to be reckoned with at home, we predict a 2-1 win. The hosts have been impressive of late, unbeaten in four of their last five games and scoring 3.40 goals per match on average, with a particularly strong home record of 2.60 points per game. Freiburg’s attack has been potent, averaging 2 goals per match and keeping clean sheets in 60% of home games, while their expected goals of 1.97 at home underline their attacking efficiency. Cyriaque Irie remains on international duty, but the rest of the squad is available.

Die Rothosen, on the other hand, head into Saturday's clash following a 1-1 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt, struggling away from home with just 0.75 points per away match and conceding 2.25 goals on average in away fixtures. They are prone to both scoring and conceding, reflected in a 50% BTTS rate away. H2H history slightly favours Freiburg, who have won 7 of the last 18 encounters.

Considering Heidenheim's stronger home form and H2H edge, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals and BTTS due to Freiburg’s high-scoring games trend.

This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 10 January 2026 at 14:30.

What is our Freiburg vs Hamburg prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Freiburg 2 - 1 Hamburg

Freiburg vs Hamburg Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Goalscorer: Lucas Holer @ 137 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds

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Freiburg Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wlwdw	2.00
Home	wwwwd	2.60
Away	wldlw	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	80%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	3.40	2.40	4.40
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	1.40	0.40	2.40
BTTS	60%	40%	80%
Clean Sheets	40%	60%	20%
Failed to Score	10%	0%	20%
Expected Goals	1.69	1.97	1.42
Expected Goals Against	1.34	0.85	1.83

Hamburg Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdwld	1.20
Home	dwdwd	1.50
Away	wlll	0.75

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	33%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	2.70	2.50	3.00
Scored	1.10	1.33	0.75
Conceded	1.60	1.17	2.25
BTTS	70%	83%	50%
Clean Sheets	10%	0%	25%
Failed to Score	20%	17%	25%
Expected Goals	1.57	1.56	1.58
Expected Goals Against	1.40	1.30	1.55